Badalona vs Lleida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 80', 2 - 0, Simon R. ,

Chances of winning


Badalona
65.5%
Draw
22.5%
Lleida
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 21.6% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 20.6% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Badalona - Lleida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.34)
    4.07
    (4.2)
    7.64
    (8.35)
    9.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 0.
    • Badalona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lleida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Badalona is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Badalona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    Latest results of Badalona
    08.11.2025 Vilanova - Badalona 2:1
    02.11.2025 Badalona - LEscala 1:0
    26.10.2025 Vilassar de Mar - Badalona 1:2
    19.10.2025 Badalona - Mollerussa 1:1
    12.10.2025 San Cristóbal - Badalona 0:1
    Latest results of Lleida
    09.11.2025 Lleida - Montañesa 1:0
    26.10.2025 Lleida - Peralada 0:2
    19.10.2025 Vic - Lleida 2:1
    12.10.2025 Lleida - LHospitalet 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CF Badalona23129232:161645
    2Manresa23136436:231345
    3Cornella23126538:261242
    4FC L'escala23107637:32537
    5L Hospitalet23114835:251037
    6CF Vilanova2399525:16936
    7Peralada23810528:23534
    8UE Tona2379723:22130
    9Montanesa2378819:22-329
    10Grama23610730:28228
    11San Cristobal CP2369828:31-327
    12Can Vidalet23671024:33-925
    13Vilassar de Mar23661125:29-424
    14Mollerussa2359925:33-824
    15CE Europa B2359926:36-1024
    16Cerdanyola23410927:34-722
    17Lleida23481115:29-1420
    18UE Vic23481120:35-1520

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation