Paradiso vs Baden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Promotion League Paradiso - Baden
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Promotion League

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Guidotti S. 🟨,
  • 29', Haile-Selassie K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Bollati L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Haile-Selassie K. , Lewis O. ,
  • 57', Guidotti S. , Simo J. ,
  • 58', Kunz S. , Kalt J. ,
  • 58', Morina A. , Brack J. ,
  • 63', Hadzi M. , Bandeira A. ,
  • 64', Zivkovic N. , Giampa D. ,
  • 79', Holcbecher M. , Rhein D. ,
  • 83', Romano D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rossier E. , Cinquini M. ,
  • 90+5', Pala Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paradiso
50%
Draw
27.5%
Baden
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.1% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Paradiso - Baden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.94)
    3.33
    (3.34)
    4.08
    (3.56)
    9.2%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Paradiso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paradiso is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paradiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paradiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paradiso - Baden were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Baden - Paradiso 1:0
    Latest results of Paradiso
    26.04.2025 Lugano II - Paradiso 1:1
    18.04.2025 Paradiso - Young Boys II 1:1
    09.04.2025 Paradiso - Vevey 1:0
    29.03.2025 Paradiso - Kriens 0:1
    15.03.2025 Bavois - Paradiso 1:0
    Latest results of Baden
    26.04.2025 Basel II - Baden 0:0
    19.04.2025 Bavois - Baden 1:1
    09.04.2025 Grand-Saconnex - Baden 1:2
    05.04.2025 Baden - Luzern II 1:5
    23.03.2025 Baden - Zurich II 1:3
    Swiss Promotion League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rapperswil-Jona34216772:353769
    2Kriens34208672:452768
    3Biel34205965:442165
    4Basel II341511859:471256
    5Breitenrain341581161:64-353
    6Cham3411111248:51-344
    7Grand-Saconnex349151067:60742
    8Vevey3411121160:70-1042
    9Paradiso341191431:41-1042
    10Bulle3410111344:49-541
    11Bavois3410101441:46-540
    12Young Boys II341171640:47-740
    13Bruhl341171654:72-1840
    14Luzern II349121362:65-339
    15Lugano II341091546:51-539
    16Zurich II341161751:59-839
    17Baden341161734:52-1839
    18Delemont341071743:52-937

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