Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Pneu Flavio ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 0, Abdel Amir M. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, Mehesen A. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 2, Basim A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amanat Baghdad
77.3% | Draw
16% | Al-Qasim
6.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amanat Baghdad's performance.Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-32%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amanat Baghdad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Qasim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.33) |
5.65 ↑
(4.47) |
13.53 ↑
(7.7) |
10.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Amanat Baghdad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Qasim has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Qasim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Amanat Baghdad is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amanat Baghdad won against Al-Qasim?
Amanat Baghdad has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qasim won against Amanat Baghdad?
Al-Qasim has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim were as follows:
26.09.2025
Al-Qasim
-
Amanat Baghdad
0:1
18.06.2024
Al-Qasim
-
Amanat Baghdad
2:0
26.10.2023
Amanat Baghdad
-
Al-Qasim
0:1
Latest results of Amanat Baghdad
Latest results of Al-Qasim
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
