Baglan Dragons vs Abergavenny Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Baglan Dragons - Abergavenny Town
Result
2:0
16/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Baglan Dragons
76.2%
Draw
14.4%
Abergavenny Town
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 16.5% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 11.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baglan Dragons's performance.
  • Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-26.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baglan Dragons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abergavenny Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Baglan Dragons - Abergavenny Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.3)
    6.29
    (5.51)
    9.62
    (6.62)
    10.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Baglan Dragons is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Abergavenny Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Baglan Dragons is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Baglan Dragons
    Latest results of Abergavenny Town
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

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