Result
2:4
21/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Everaldo ⚽,
- 30', Wanderson Papaterra 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 43', Willian Kaefer 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 3, Erick ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Higor Farias ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 46', Diogo Crispim ↓, Everson Ribeiro ↑,
- 46', Sanabria M. ↓, Lyan Araujo ↑,
- 53', 0 - 4, Dell ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 4, Douglas Rocha Araujo M. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 4, Everson Ribeiro ⚽,
- 88', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético de Alagoinhas
11.6% | Draw
23% | Bahia
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.9 ↑
(5.94) |
3.97 ↑
(3.72) |
1.4 ↓
(1.52) |
9.5%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Atlético Alagoinhas is Relegated to Baiano 2
- Bahia is Qualified for Baiano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 2.
- Atlético Alagoinhas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bahia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Alagoinhas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Alagoinhas won against Bahia?
Atlético de Alagoinhas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Atlético de Alagoinhas?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia were as follows:
16.01.2025
Bahia
-
Atlético de Alagoinhas
0:1
21.01.2024
Atlético de Alagoinhas
-
Bahia
3:3
17.02.2023
Atlético de Alagoinhas
-
Bahia
1:2
18.01.2023
Bahia
-
Atlético de Alagoinhas
2:1
Latest results of Atlético de Alagoinhas
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Bahia (1) | Juazeirense (4) | 4 : 2 |
| 2 | Vitoria (2) | Jacuipense (3) | 2 : 1 |
Final
