Result
1:1
30/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (355/408) | 91% (515/565) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 25% (1/4) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (355/408) | 91% (515/565) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 69% (18/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (103/124) | 82% (121/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.71 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Gilberto ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Leo Mana ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 46', Yuri Alberto ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 51', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
- 54', Ademir ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
- 60', Caca ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 60', Alex Santana ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
- 62', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 63', Jean Lucas 🟨,
- 65', Hugo ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 69', Erick Pulga ↓, Erick ↑,
- 69', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 73', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
- 82', Luciano Juba ↓, Iago ↑,
- 83', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 85', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Hernandez H. ⚽, Breno Bidon (A),
Chances of winning
Bahia
50.5% | Draw
27.5% | Corinthians
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3%)
Bahia - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.02) |
3.46 ↓
(3.47) |
4.24 ↑
(3.6) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1.
- Bahia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Corinthians is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bahia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Corinthians?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Bahia?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Corinthians were as follows:
03.12.2024
Corinthians
-
Bahia
3:0
21.07.2024
Bahia
-
Corinthians
0:1
24.11.2023
Corinthians
-
Bahia
1:5
22.07.2023
Bahia
-
Corinthians
0:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
