Result
3:0
17/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (272/327) | 85% (431/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (272/327) | 85% (431/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (83/112) | 76% (83/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Kaio Jorge (Pen),
- 19', Ronaldo Strada ↓, Marcos Felipe ↑,
- 23', Erick 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 0, Romero L. ⚽, Lucas Silva (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 46', Erick ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
- 46', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 53', William Furtado 🟨,
- 60', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 61', Arias S. 🟨,
- 64', Wanderson 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Christian (A),
- 71', Arias S. ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 71', Cauly ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 76', Christian 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Lucas Silva (A),
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 79', Christian ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 84', Wanderson ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
- 90+1', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
40.6% | Draw
30.8% | Bahia
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Cruzeiro - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.36) |
3.08 ↓
(3.33) |
3.3 ↑
(3) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bolasie Y.
(Knock)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Iago Borduchi
(Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Silva
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Kanu
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Bahia?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Cruzeiro?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Bahia were as follows:
18.10.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
1:1
23.06.2024
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
4:1
25.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Bahia
3:0
10.06.2023
Bahia
-
Cruzeiro
2:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
