Result
20/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bahia 59.9% | Draw 22.3% | Fortaleza 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bahia - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.6) |
4.25 ↑ (4.2) |
5.23 ↑ (5.08) |
5.8% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fortaleza?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Bahia?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Fortaleza were as follows:
19.07.2025
Fortaleza
-
Bahia
1:1
09.07.2025
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
2:1
21.09.2024
Fortaleza
-
Bahia
4:1
13.06.2024
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
1:0
21.10.2023
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
2:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )