Bahia vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
2:3
20/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 34
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFlow Eventos
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
paraguayParaguayFlow Eventos
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayFlow
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.88
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
89% (457/516)64% (143/222)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.472.20
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
6119
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
146
Passes
89% (457/516)64% (143/222)
Long passes
68% (15/22)32% (20/62)
Passes in final third
84% (168/201)52% (32/62)
Crosses
30% (12/40)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.881.53
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
614
Tackles
78% (7/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5742
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
2.202.47
Goals prevented
-0.800.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
  • 32', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
  • 45+3', Ademir 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Erick ↓, Tiago ↑,
  • 46', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
  • 60', David Duarte ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Willian Jose (Pen),
  • 71', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
  • 71', Pereira M. ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
  • 71', Pochettino T. ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Deyverson ⚽,
  • 77', Diogo Barbosa 🟨,
  • 78', Breno Lopes ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
  • 78', Gilberto ↓, Cauly ↑,
  • 84', Brenno 🟨,
  • 86', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Tiago ⚽, Ademir (A),
  • 90+2', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
  • 90+3', Pierre 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
61.6%		Draw
21.7%		Fortaleza
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.9% 18.1%

Bahia - Fortaleza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.55 ↓
(1.6)		 4.4 ↑
(4.2)		 5.6 ↑
(5.08)		 5.3%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bahia - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 57.6% – 90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bahia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier (Calf Injury) Gilberto (Thigh Injury) Kayky (Thigh Injury) Michel Araujo (Yellow Cards) Ruan Pablo (International duty) Sanabria M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucas Sasha (Yellow Cards) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Fortaleza were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Fortaleza - Bahia 1:1
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    21.09.2024 Fortaleza - Bahia 4:1
    13.06.2024 Bahia - Fortaleza 1:0
    21.10.2023 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    08.11.2025 Internacional RS - Bahia 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 3:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 São Paulo - Bahia 2:0 ✺
    22.10.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    12.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:3 ✺
    09.11.2025 Fortaleza - Grêmio 2:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Santos - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Fortaleza - Flamengo 1:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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