Result
0:2
28/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Brasileiro Women - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, N Sports, Sky+, Vivo Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Pini ⚽,
- 21', Nalon N. ↓, Mila Santos ↑,
- 22', Brito 🟨,
- 44', Suelen 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dani ↓, Rute Deveza ↑,
- 48', Leidiane 🟨,
- 60', Ellen Santana ↓, Dan ↑,
- 71', Montoya D. ↓, Brenda Woch ↑,
- 84', Gisele 🟨,
- 87', Suelen ↓, Isa Fernandes ↑,
- 88', Tchula ↓, Gica ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Pini ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bahia
48.1% | Draw
27.1% | Grêmio Porto Alegrense
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahia's form might have worsened.Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Porto Alegrense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Porto Alegrense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.62) |
3.37 ↓
(3.95) |
3.7 ↓
(4.82) |
9.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bahia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- Bahia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bahia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Grêmio Porto Alegrense?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Porto Alegrense won against Bahia?
Grêmio Porto Alegrense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense were as follows:
06.08.2025
Bahia
-
Grêmio Porto Alegrense
1:0
12.04.2025
Grêmio Porto Alegrense
-
Bahia
1:0
22.12.2024
Bahia
-
Grêmio Porto Alegrense
1:2
25.03.2023
Bahia
-
Grêmio Porto Alegrense
3:2
Latest results of Grêmio Porto Alegrense
Brasileiro Women Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Palmeiras W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Internacional W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Flamengo W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Ferroviaria W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense W | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro W | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Bragantino W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos W | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Gremio W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG W | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Botafogo RJ W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Juventude W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | America Mineiro W | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3:19 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 | Vitoria W | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:21 | -16 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women
