Mirassol vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Bahia
Result
5:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.460.54
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
613
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Long passes
54% (13/24)63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
72% (61/85)83% (102/123)
Crosses
31% (5/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.00
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
137
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
1921
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.543.46
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Joao Victor , Reinaldo (A),
  • 16', Erick Pulga , Kayky ,
  • 16', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Chico , Negueba (A),
  • 30', 3 - 0, Ronaldo Strada (Own goal),
  • 39', Nicolas Acevedo , Rezende ,
  • 39', Cauly , Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 4 - 0, Alesson , Jose Aldo (A),
  • 69', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 69', Kayky , Sanabria M. ,
  • 71', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 71', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 75', 5 - 0, Cristian Renato , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 79', Jose Aldo , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 79', Danielzinho , Chico Kim ,
  • 88', 5 - 1, Rodrigo , Jean Lucas (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
44.4%
Draw
29%
Bahia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mirassol - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.54)
    3.36
    (3.13)
    3.71
    (2.84)
    3.1%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
    • Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Gabriel (Inactive) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Injury) Ademir (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Inactive) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Michel Araujo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Fred Lippert (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Bahia were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet