Mirassol vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.460.54
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
613
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Long passes
54% (13/24)63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
72% (61/85)83% (102/123)
Crosses
31% (5/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.00
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
137
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
1921
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.543.46
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Joao Victor , Reinaldo (A),
  • 16', Erick Pulga , Kayky ,
  • 16', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Chico , Negueba (A),
  • 30', 3 - 0, Ronaldo Strada (Own goal),
  • 39', Nicolas Acevedo , Rezende ,
  • 39', Cauly , Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 4 - 0, Alesson , Jose Aldo (A),
  • 69', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 69', Kayky , Sanabria M. ,
  • 71', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 71', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 75', 5 - 0, Cristian Renato , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 79', Jose Aldo , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 79', Danielzinho , Chico Kim ,
  • 88', 5 - 1, Rodrigo , Jean Lucas (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
44.4%
Draw
29%
Bahia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31% 31.9%

Mirassol - Bahia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.16
(2.54)
3.36
(3.13)
3.71
(2.84)
3.1%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bahia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bahia (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mirassol (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Mirassol (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bahia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
    • Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Gabriel (Inactive) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Injury) Ademir (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Inactive) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Michel Araujo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Fred Lippert (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Bahia were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino22002:026
    2Palmeiras21107:344
    3Chapecoense-SC21105:324
    4Mirassol21104:314
    5Sao Paulo21103:214
    6Fluminense21103:214
    7Bahia21103:214
    8Flamengo RJ31114:404
    9Botafogo RJ21017:523
    10Gremio21016:513
    11Athletico-PR11001:013
    12Coritiba21012:203
    13Vitoria31024:7-33
    14Vasco20112:3-11
    15Atletico-MG20112:3-11
    16Internacional20111:2-11
    17Santos20113:5-21
    18Remo20112:4-21
    19Corinthians10011:2-10
    20Cruzeiro20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet