Bahia vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Mirassol
Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.61
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
87% (429/491)86% (339/394)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.18
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
428
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
87% (429/491)86% (339/394)
Long passes
54% (20/37)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
85% (148/175)78% (50/64)
Crosses
17% (6/35)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.270.31
Fouls
1110
Tackles
38% (5/13)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4456
Clearances Total
736
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.180.96
Goals prevented
0.18-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Kanu , David Duarte ,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Gabriel , Lucas Ramon (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Erick Pulga , Luciano Juba (A),
  • 43', Clayson 🟨,
  • 45+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Jose Aldo , Roni ,
  • 64', Gabriel , Maceio ,
  • 64', Clayson , Iury Castilho ,
  • 65', Roni 🟨,
  • 66', Everton Ribeiro , Cauly ,
  • 67', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
  • 72', Iury Castilho 🟨,
  • 74', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 76', Gilberto , Arias S. ,
  • 76', Caio Alexandre , Erick ,
  • 76', Ademir , Kayky ,
  • 81', Daniel Borges , Reinaldo ,
  • 81', Cristian Renato , Edson Carioca ,
  • 90+5', Reinaldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
62%
Draw
24%
Mirassol
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.9% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.4% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Bahia - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.58)
    3.97
    (3.93)
    6.69
    (5.64)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mirassol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier (Calf Injury) Michel Araujo (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Bianqui (Injury) Negueba (Inactive) PH (Injury) Roni (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bahia
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    03.04.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:1
    30.03.2025 Bahia - Corinthians 1:1
    26.03.2025 Bahia - Ceará 3:2
    Latest results of Mirassol
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

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