Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Passes |
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87% (429/491) | 86% (339/394) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.81 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.96 | 1.18 |
Total shots |
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17 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 8 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 11 |
Passes |
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87% (429/491) | 86% (339/394) |
Long passes |
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54% (20/37) | 56% (20/36) |
Passes in final third |
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85% (148/175) | 78% (50/64) |
Crosses |
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17% (6/35) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.27 | 0.31 |
Fouls |
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11 | 10 |
Tackles |
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38% (5/13) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
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44 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
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7 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.18 | 0.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.18 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Kanu ↓, David Duarte ↑,
- 17', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Erick Pulga ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 43', Clayson 🟨,
- 45+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Jose Aldo ↓, Roni ↑,
- 64', Gabriel ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 64', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 65', Roni 🟨,
- 66', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 67', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 72', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 74', Gilberto 🟨,
- 76', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 76', Caio Alexandre ↓, Erick ↑,
- 76', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 81', Daniel Borges ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 81', Cristian Renato ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 90+5', Reinaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia 62% | Draw 24% | Mirassol 14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Bahia - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (1.58) |
3.97 ↑ (3.93) |
6.69 ↑ (5.64) |
5.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mirassol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Bianqui
(Injury)
Negueba
(Inactive)
PH
(Injury)
Roni
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Mirassol?
Bahia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Bahia?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Mirassol were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet