Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (429/491) | 86% (339/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (429/491) | 86% (339/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (148/175) | 78% (50/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/35) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Kanu ↓, David Duarte ↑,
- 17', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Erick Pulga ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 43', Clayson 🟨,
- 45+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Jose Aldo ↓, Roni ↑,
- 64', Gabriel ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 64', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 65', Roni 🟨,
- 66', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 67', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
- 72', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 74', Gilberto 🟨,
- 76', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 76', Caio Alexandre ↓, Erick ↑,
- 76', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 81', Daniel Borges ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 81', Cristian Renato ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 90+5', Reinaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
62% | Draw
24% | Mirassol
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Bahia - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.58) |
3.97 ↑
(3.93) |
6.69 ↑
(5.64) |
5.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mirassol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bahia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Bianqui
(Injury)
Negueba
(Inactive)
PH
(Injury)
Roni
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Mirassol?
Bahia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Bahia?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Mirassol were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
