Mirassol vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Bahia
Result
5:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.970.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.460.54
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
613
Passes
85% (284/334)90% (480/536)
Long passes
54% (13/24)63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
72% (61/85)83% (102/123)
Crosses
31% (5/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.00
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
137
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
1921
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.543.46
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Joao Victor , Reinaldo (A),
  • 16', Erick Pulga , Kayky ,
  • 16', Edson Carioca , Alesson ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Chico , Negueba (A),
  • 30', 3 - 0, Ronaldo Strada (Own goal),
  • 39', Nicolas Acevedo , Rezende ,
  • 39', Cauly , Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 4 - 0, Alesson , Jose Aldo (A),
  • 69', Everton Ribeiro , Rodrigo ,
  • 69', Kayky , Sanabria M. ,
  • 71', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 71', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 75', 5 - 0, Cristian Renato , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 79', Jose Aldo , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 79', Danielzinho , Chico Kim ,
  • 88', 5 - 1, Rodrigo , Jean Lucas (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
44.4%
Draw
29%
Bahia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mirassol - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.54)
    3.36
    (3.13)
    3.71
    (2.84)
    3.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
    • Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Gabriel (Inactive) PH (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Injury) Ademir (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Inactive) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Michel Araujo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Fred Lippert (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Bahia were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    24.08.2025 Fortaleza - Mirassol 0:1
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    16.08.2025 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino26961132:38-633
    10Gremio2689928:32-433
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet