Result
5:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (284/334) | 90% (480/536) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (284/334) | 90% (480/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 63% (30/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (61/85) | 83% (102/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 16', Erick Pulga ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 16', Edson Carioca ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 22', 2 - 0, Chico ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 30', 3 - 0, Ronaldo Strada (Own goal),
- 39', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Rezende ↑,
- 39', Cauly ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 4 - 0, Alesson ⚽, Jose Aldo (A),
- 69', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 69', Kayky ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 71', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 71', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 75', 5 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽, Carlos Eduardo (A),
- 79', Jose Aldo ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 79', Danielzinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 88', 5 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
Chances of winning
Mirassol
44.4% | Draw
29% | Bahia
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.54) |
3.36 ↑
(3.13) |
3.71 ↑
(2.84) |
3.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
- Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Gabriel
(Inactive)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Injury)
Ademir
(Yellow Cards)
Caio Alexandre
(Inactive)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Fred Lippert
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Bahia?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Mirassol?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Bahia were as follows:
13.04.2025
Bahia
-
Mirassol
1:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
