Result
5:1
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.97 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
85% (284/334) | 90% (480/536) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.97 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.46 | 0.54 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
85% (284/334) | 90% (480/536) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (13/24) | 63% (30/48) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (61/85) | 83% (102/123) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.52 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.54 | 3.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.46 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 16', Erick Pulga ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 16', Edson Carioca ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 22', 2 - 0, Chico ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 30', 3 - 0, Ronaldo Strada (Own goal),
- 39', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Rezende ↑,
- 39', Cauly ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 4 - 0, Alesson ⚽, Jose Aldo (A),
- 69', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 69', Kayky ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 71', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 71', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 75', 5 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽, Carlos Eduardo (A),
- 79', Jose Aldo ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 79', Danielzinho ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 88', 5 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
Chances of winning
Mirassol 44.4% | Draw 29% | Bahia 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 ↓ (2.54) |
3.36 ↑ (3.13) |
3.71 ↑ (2.84) |
3.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Mirassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bahia has had a series of home games.
- Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Gabriel
(Inactive)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Injury)
Ademir
(Yellow Cards)
Caio Alexandre
(Inactive)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Fred Lippert
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Bahia?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Mirassol?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Bahia were as follows:
13.04.2025
Bahia
-
Mirassol
1:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet