Result
3:1
07/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa do Nordeste - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
- 10', Ademir 🟨,
- 28', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Tiago ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Igor Fernandes ↓, Odivan ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Indio (Own goal),
- 62', Rodrigo ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 62', Kayky ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 64', 🟨,
- 69', Tiago ↓, Ruan Pablo ↑,
- 69', Ze Guilherme ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
- 78', Vinicius ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽,
- 80', Michel Araujo ↓, Jota ↑,
- 80', Marco Antonio ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
63.8% | Draw
22.2% | Náutico Capibaribe
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.56) |
4.06 ↑
(3.65) |
6.73 ↑
(5.6) |
9.6%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bahia is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Bahia?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
10.04.2024
Bahia
-
Náutico Capibaribe
3:0
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | CSA | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria | Confianca | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Bahia | Fortaleza | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sport Recife | Ceara | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
