Bahia vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
3:1
07/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 10', Ademir 🟨,
  • 28', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Igor Fernandes , Odivan ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Indio (Own goal),
  • 62', Rodrigo , Willian Jose ,
  • 62', Kayky , Ademir ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 69', Tiago , Ruan Pablo ,
  • 69', Ze Guilherme , Luciano Juba ,
  • 78', Vinicius , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Michel Araujo ,
  • 80', Michel Araujo , Jota ,
  • 80', Marco Antonio , Patrick Allan ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
63.8%
Draw
22.2%
Náutico Capibaribe
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 25% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 24.2% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.56)
    4.06
    (3.65)
    6.73
    (5.6)
    9.6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bahia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe 3:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    04.06.2025 Confiança - Bahia 2:0
    31.05.2025 Bahia - São Paulo 2:1
    28.05.2025 Internacional RS - Bahia 2:1
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2