Palmeiras vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Bahia
Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (363/432)87% (392/451)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.12
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
135
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
84% (363/432)87% (392/451)
Long passes
60% (27/45)55% (27/49)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)75% (88/118)
Crosses
35% (11/31)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.71
Throw-ins
2710
Fouls
1216
Tackles
38% (3/8)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
1247
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.120.79
Goals prevented
0.120.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Torres F. , Estevao ,
  • 46', Felipe Anderson , Vitor Roque ,
  • 54', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
  • 63', Mauricio , Paulinho ,
  • 63', Willian Jose , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 63', Erick Pulga , Cauly ,
  • 63', Everton Ribeiro , Erick ,
  • 70', Ademir , Kayky ,
  • 80', Rios R. , Martinez E. ,
  • 80', Moreno A. , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 82', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Kayky , Cauly (A),
  • 90+6', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Cauly 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
63.2%
Draw
22.4%
Bahia
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 23.6% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 22.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Palmeiras - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.64)
    4.22
    (4)
    6.52
    (5.03)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3.
    • Palmeiras in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Mayke (Hamstring Injury) Micael (Ankle Injury) Murilo (Hamstring Injury) Raphael Veiga (Shoulder Injury) Rios R. (Groin Injury) Vitor Roque (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Inactive) Gabriel Xavier (Calf Injury) Kanu (Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Michel Araujo (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Palmeiras to win the game is with odds 1.55.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 11 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29:14 (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Bahia were as follows:
    20.11.2024 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:2
    07.07.2024 Palmeiras - Bahia 2:0
    28.10.2023 Palmeiras - Bahia 1:0
    21.06.2023 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    24.04.2025 Bolívar - Palmeiras 2:3
    20.04.2025 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:2
    12.04.2025 Palmeiras - Corinthians 2:0
    09.04.2025 Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet