Result
0:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/432) | 87% (392/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/432) | 87% (392/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (76/117) | 75% (88/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torres F. ↓, Estevao ↑,
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 54', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
- 63', Mauricio ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 63', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 63', Erick Pulga ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 63', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Erick ↑,
- 70', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 80', Rios R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 80', Moreno A. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 82', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Kayky ⚽, Cauly (A),
- 90+6', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cauly 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
63.2% | Draw
22.4% | Bahia
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Palmeiras - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.64) |
4.22 ↑
(4) |
6.52 ↑
(5.03) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Mayke
(Hamstring Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
Murilo
(Hamstring Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Shoulder Injury)
Rios R.
(Groin Injury)
Vitor Roque
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
Kanu
(Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Michel Araujo
(Hamstring Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Palmeiras to win the game is with odds 1.55.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 11 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29:14 (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Bahia?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Palmeiras?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Bahia were as follows:
20.11.2024
Bahia
-
Palmeiras
1:2
07.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Bahia
2:0
28.10.2023
Palmeiras
-
Bahia
1:0
21.06.2023
Bahia
-
Palmeiras
1:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
