Result
3:1
24/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
89% (449/505) | 80% (207/259) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.52 | 0.72 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
89% (449/505) | 80% (207/259) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (17/31) | 32% (14/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (103/133) | 62% (29/47) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (11/31) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.67 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.72 | 1.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.28 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Sanabria M. ⚽,
- 36', Jean Lucas 🟥,
- 39', Lucas Freitas ↓, David ↑,
- 44', Willian Jose ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 44', Gilberto 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Coutinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 63', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 67', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 67', Michel Araujo ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 76', Sanabria M. ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Luciano Juba (Own goal),
- 82', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 86', Gomez C. A. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 86', Hugo Moura ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 40.4% | Draw 29.4% | Bahia 30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4%)
Vasco da Gama - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.57) |
3.24 ↓ (3.32) |
3.1 ↑ (2.73) |
5.1% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Inactive)
Joao Victor
(Yellow Cards)
Thiago Mendes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Yellow Cards)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ramos S.
(Yellow Cards)
Rezende
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Bahia?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vasco da Gama?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Bahia were as follows:
28.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:2
26.06.2024
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
03.09.2023
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
01.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
0:1
28.08.2022
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet