Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (452/521) | 85% (367/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (452/521) | 85% (367/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 35% (14/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (128/166) | 66% (58/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Franca ↓, David ↑,
- 48', Rayan 🟨,
- 68', David 🟥,
- 70', Moreira N. ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
- 70', Jean Lucas ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 70', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽, Ademir (A),
- 78', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 82', Hugo Moura ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 83', Robert Renan ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 84', Erick Pulga ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 84', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 87', Cauan Barros ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
- 87', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
- 90+9', Tche Tche 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
55.3% | Draw
25.4% | Vasco da Gama
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bahia - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.78) |
3.7 ↑
(3.45) |
4.85 ↑
(4.45) |
5.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bahia - Vasco da Gama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bahia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Sanabria M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Coutinho
(Yellow Cards)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Gabriel Xavier
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Cuesta C.
(Inactive)
Garre B.
(Pelvis Injury)
Gomez C. A.
(Inactive)
Victor Luis
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 1.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vasco da Gama?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Bahia?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
24.09.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:1
28.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:2
26.06.2024
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
03.09.2023
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
01.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
0:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 48:39 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bahia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 60 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Bragantino ✔ | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 48 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41:46 | -5 | 46 |
| 11 | Gremio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 46 |
| 12 | Vasco | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 55:55 | 0 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 45 |
| 14 | Santos | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 15 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 33:37 | -4 | 43 |
| 16 | Fortaleza | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 41:54 | -13 | 43 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 42 |
| 18 | Internacional | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 41 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 34:68 | -34 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 37 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 28:71 | -43 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
