Result
3:2
28/10/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 31
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 449 | 474 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 374 | 400 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Payet D. (Pen),
- 24', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
- 32', 3 - 0, Payet D. ⚽, Galdames P. (A),
- 38', Jean Lucas ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 38', Everaldo ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 40', Galdames P. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Ademir (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cauly ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
- 46', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 51', Thaciano 🟨,
- 53', Maicon 🟨,
- 65', Rayan Vitor ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Ademir ⚽,
- 76', Luciano Juba ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 84', Payet D. 🟨,
- 85', Payet D. ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 87', Rodriguez E. ↓, Alegria ↑,
- 90+5', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Jair ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
33.9% | Draw
28.5% | Bahia
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.28) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
2.53 ↓
(3.06) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.5% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Injury)
David
(Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Rezende
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16:32 (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Bahia?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vasco da Gama?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Bahia were as follows:
26.06.2024
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
03.09.2023
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
01.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
0:1
28.08.2022
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:4 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Vasco da Gama - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Fanatiz |
