Result
3:1
24/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/505) | 80% (207/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (449/505) | 80% (207/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (103/133) | 62% (29/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Sanabria M. ⚽,
- 36', Jean Lucas 🟥,
- 39', Lucas Freitas ↓, David ↑,
- 44', Willian Jose ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 44', Gilberto 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Coutinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 63', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 67', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 67', Michel Araujo ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 76', Sanabria M. ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Luciano Juba (Own goal),
- 82', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 86', Gomez C. A. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 86', Hugo Moura ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
40.4% | Draw
29.4% | Bahia
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4%)
Vasco da Gama - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.57) |
3.24 ↓
(3.32) |
3.1 ↑
(2.73) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Inactive)
Joao Victor
(Yellow Cards)
Thiago Mendes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Yellow Cards)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ramos S.
(Yellow Cards)
Rezende
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Bahia?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vasco da Gama?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Bahia were as follows:
28.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
3:2
26.06.2024
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
03.09.2023
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
01.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Bahia
0:1
28.08.2022
Bahia
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
