Bahia vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bahia
50.4%
Draw
27.2%
Vitória Salvador
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 29.9% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 30.5% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.01)
    3.36
    (3.08)
    4.07
    (3.82)
    9.6%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • Bahia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vitória is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 0:1
    16.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:1
    18.05.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:1
    23.03.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 1:1
    01.02.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.02.2026 Bahia - Juazeirense 4:2
    25.02.2026 Bahia - OHiggins 2:2
    25.02.2026 Bahia - Chapecoense Postponed
    18.02.2026 OHiggins - Bahia 1:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bahia (1)Juazeirense (4)4 : 2
    2Vitoria (2)Jacuipense (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bahia (1)Vitoria (2)