Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.44 | 2.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
82% (274/333) | 90% (329/367) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.44 | 2.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 2.11 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
23 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (274/333) | 90% (329/367) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (19/42) | 58% (11/19) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (47/68) | 84% (106/126) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (1/5) | 24% (9/37) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 1.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 23 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (15/19) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.11 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.11 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Jean Lucas 🟥,
- 13', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽, Caio Alexandre (A),
- 33', Baralhas ↓, Erick ↑,
- 40', Claudinho 🟨,
- 42', Erick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wellington Rato ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 53', Gilberto 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Osvaldo (A),
- 55', Cauly ↓, Erick ↑,
- 55', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 59', Erick Pulga 🟨,
- 63', Osvaldo 🟨,
- 64', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽, Tiago (A),
- 68', Osvaldo ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 68', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 71', Pepe 🟥,
- 78', Erick Pulga ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 83', Claudinho ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 88', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia 54.9% | Draw 27% | Vitória Salvador 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↑ (1.7) |
3.54 ↑ (3.51) |
5.21 ↓ (5.39) |
5.1% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Inactive)
Arias S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Matheuzinho
(Red Card)
Pepe
(Inactive)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vitória Salvador?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Bahia?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
23.03.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
1:1
01.02.2025
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
11.08.2024
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
21.04.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
2:2
07.04.2024
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet