Bahia vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Vitória Salvador
Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 9
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
82% (274/333)90% (329/367)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.11
Total shots
823
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
311
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2312
Passes
82% (274/333)90% (329/367)
Long passes
45% (19/42)58% (11/19)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)84% (106/126)
Crosses
20% (1/5)24% (9/37)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.26
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
1223
Tackles
79% (15/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6142
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
2.110.98
Goals prevented
1.11-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Jean Lucas 🟥,
  • 13', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Erick Pulga , Caio Alexandre (A),
  • 33', Baralhas , Erick ,
  • 40', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 42', Erick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wellington Rato , Gustavo Silva ,
  • 46', Rodriguez L. , Tiago ,
  • 53', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer , Osvaldo (A),
  • 55', Cauly , Erick ,
  • 55', Caio Alexandre , Nicolas Acevedo ,
  • 59', Erick Pulga 🟨,
  • 63', Osvaldo 🟨,
  • 64', Everton Ribeiro , Michel Araujo ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo , Tiago (A),
  • 68', Osvaldo , Janderson ,
  • 68', Ricardo Ryller , Pepe ,
  • 71', Pepe 🟥,
  • 78', Erick Pulga , Willian Jose ,
  • 83', Claudinho , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 88', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
54.9%
Draw
27%
Vitória Salvador
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.7)
    3.54
    (3.51)
    5.21
    (5.39)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Inactive) Arias S. (Muscle Injury) Gilberto (Inactive) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Matheuzinho (Red Card) Pepe (Inactive) Willian Oliveira (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 1:1
    01.02.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    11.08.2024 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 2:0
    21.04.2024 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:2
    07.04.2024 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    14.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Bahia 1:0
    10.05.2025 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet