Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
05/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
43
Total shots
88
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Disasa G. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Belete W. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Shafi H. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Peter S. ,

Chances of winning


Bahir Dar Kenema
35.1%
Draw
36.8%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 32.5% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.3% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahir Dar Kenema's form might have worsened.
  • Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahir Dar Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.28)
    2.47
    (2.83)
    3.24
    (3.4)
    10%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahir Dar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).
    • Recent performances by Bahir Dar have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ethiopia Nigd Bank's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bahir Dar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0
    04.12.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3:0
    13.06.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema 2:2
    26.01.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1:2
    Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
    Latest results of Ethiopia Nigd Bank
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna21109226:111539
    2Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    3Hawassa21106524:131136
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2189416:13333
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric21610511:11028
    8Bahir Dar Kenema21512415:15027
    9Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    10Shire Endaselassie2168715:15026
    11Ethiopia Bunna2075817:20-326
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    15Ethiopian Insurance2158815:16-123
    16Sheger Ketema21411617:20-323
    17Welayta Dicha21410722:24-222
    18Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    19Welwalo Adigrat2149815:23-821
    20Arba Menche21210913:23-1016

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