Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 19

Match Stats


Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
5	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	5
Corner kicks
4	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Disasa G. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Belete W. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Shafi H. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Peter S. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Bahir Dar Kenema
35.1%

Draw
36.8%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

32.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahir Dar Kenema's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahir Dar Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-2%)

Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.28)	2.47 ↓ (2.83)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	10% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahir Dar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).
Recent performances by Bahir Dar have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bahir Dar could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Bahir Dar Kenema has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Nigd Bank won against Bahir Dar Kenema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank were as follows:

14.05.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0

04.12.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3:0

13.06.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema 2:2

26.01.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1:2

Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema

31.01.2026 Sidama Coffee - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City 0:0 ✺

20.01.2026 Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ethiopia Nigd Bank

01.02.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City 2:3 ✺

16.01.2026 Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana 0:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

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