San Jose Barracuda vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
24/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4326
Shooting PCT
11.63% (5/43)11.54% (3/26)
Goalkeeper Saves
2338
Saves PCT
88.46% (23/26)90.48% (38/42)
Penalties
66
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:28, 1 - 0, Wahlstrom O. (G), Chernyshov I. (A), Bystedt F. (A2)
  • 09:03, 1 - 1, Hutson Q. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 18:48, 1 - 2, Carfagna D. (G), Jones M. (A), Samanski J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:53, 2 - 2, Lund C. (G), Huntington J. (A),
  • 08:48, 2 - 3, Brown J. (G), Hamblin J. (A), Stillman R. (A2)
  • 17:01, Jones M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:23, 3 - 3, Huntington J. (G), Afanasyev Y. (A), Havelid M. (A2)
  • 15:15, 4 - 3, White C. (G), Afanasyev Y. (A), Allan N. (A2)
  • 19:40, 5 - 3, Chernyshov I. (G),

Chances of winning


San Jose Barracuda
40.8%
Draw
22.8%
Bakersfield Condors
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 24.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.1% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakersfield Condors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.21)
    3.99
    (3.7)
    2.53
    (2.61)
    9%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bakersfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:65. (average 3.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 4.3:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    10.01.2026 San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors 4:3
    03.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 2:1
    02.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 4:1
    18.10.2025 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 2:1
    11.10.2025 San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors 7:6
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )