San Jose Barracuda vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
24/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4326
Shooting PCT
11.63% (5/43)11.54% (3/26)
Goalkeeper Saves
2338
Saves PCT
88.46% (23/26)90.48% (38/42)
Penalties
66
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:28, 1 - 0, Wahlstrom O. (G), Chernyshov I. (A), Bystedt F. (A2)
  • 09:03, 1 - 1, Hutson Q. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 18:48, 1 - 2, Carfagna D. (G), Jones M. (A), Samanski J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:53, 2 - 2, Lund C. (G), Huntington J. (A),
  • 08:48, 2 - 3, Brown J. (G), Hamblin J. (A), Stillman R. (A2)
  • 17:01, Jones M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:23, 3 - 3, Huntington J. (G), Afanasyev Y. (A), Havelid M. (A2)
  • 15:15, 4 - 3, White C. (G), Afanasyev Y. (A), Allan N. (A2)
  • 19:40, 5 - 3, Chernyshov I. (G),

Chances of winning


San Jose Barracuda
40.8%
Draw
22.8%
Bakersfield Condors
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 24.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.1% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakersfield Condors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.21)
    3.99
    (3.7)
    2.53
    (2.61)
    9%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bakersfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:65. (average 3.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 4.3:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    10.01.2026 San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors 4:3
    03.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 2:1
    02.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 4:1
    18.10.2025 Bakersfield Condors - San Jose Barracuda 2:1
    11.10.2025 San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors 7:6
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 643712114217:14499
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers65309521214:17583
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves632281419195:20174
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans62217925191:19565
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )