Cardiff Metropolitan vs Bala Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 11
  • Referee: Williams B. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Reynolds R. ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Torrance J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Ibrahim O. , Lumeka L. ,
  • 76', Burke N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Metropolitan
64.2%
Draw
22.1%
Bala Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 27.8% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.7% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Metropolitan's performance.
  • Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-20.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff Metropolitan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.17)
    5.14
    (3.3)
    8.32
    (3.05)
    -12.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bala Town will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff Metropolitan: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan (votes: 2 - 50%). Bala Town (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Bala Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cardiff Metropolitan is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town 1:0
    29.03.2025 Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 0:0
    08.02.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town 2:1
    09.11.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town 3:3
    07.09.2024 Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan 0:1
    Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
    Latest results of Bala Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS13102139:102932
    2Penybont1382322:13926
    3Caernarfon1363430:21921
    4Connahs Q1263320:14621
    5Colwyn Bay1346314:9518
    6Barry1336416:17-115
    7Cardiff Metropolitan1336419:23-415
    8Bala1343610:19-915
    9Flint1242623:25-214
    10Briton Ferry1234517:20-313
    11Haverfordwest1232713:22-911
    12Llanelli1321107:37-307

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