Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
13/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 25
  • Referee: Williams B. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
181
Shots on target
121
Corner kicks
51
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
181
Shots on target
121
Shots off target
60
Corner kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', Billington S. , Dogan T. ,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Kenniford K. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Shephard C. ,
  • 44', Shephard C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samuels J. , Dean H. ,
  • 64', Humphreys I. , Jones O. ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 68', Kenniford K. , Makwiramiti P. ,
  • 74', Owen J. , Higgins L. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Shephard C. ,
  • 82', McCarthy K. 🟨,
  • 85', Ahmun B. , Thomas H. ,
  • 86', Evans C. , Fisher C. ,
  • 86', McCarthy K. , Shepherd T. ,
  • 86', Walters G. , Watkins A. ,
  • 86', Ferguson C. , Mehasseb H. ,

Chances of winning


Haverfordwest County
52.5%
Draw
27%
Bala Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.5% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.3% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haverfordwest County's performance.
  • Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haverfordwest County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Haverfordwest County - Bala Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.05)
    3.42
    (3.33)
    4.51
    (3.3)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County - Bala Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Haverfordwest will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Bala Town will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Haverfordwest: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Haverfordwest (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3.
    • Haverfordwest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bala Town has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Haverfordwest is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haverfordwest County - Bala Town were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Bala Town - Haverfordwest County 0:2
    10.10.2025 Haverfordwest County - Bala Town 2:0
    15.03.2025 Bala Town - Haverfordwest County 0:0
    25.01.2025 Haverfordwest County - Bala Town 3:2
    23.11.2024 Haverfordwest County - Bala Town 0:0
    Latest results of Bala Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS26212370:205065
    2Connahs Q26148451:292250
    3Penybont26117837:40-340
    4Caernarfon27109849:371239
    5Colwyn Bay271071035:33237
    6Barry2699836:27936

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          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)