Result
2:1 penalties
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Hollinshead T. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Draper G. (Pen),
- 1, McGiveron D. (Pen),
- 2, Torry D. (Pen),
- 2, Mehasseb H. (Pen),
- 3, Jacobs L. (Pen),
- 3, Tarasenko J. (Pen),
- 4, Sharp O. (Pen),
- 4, Hall L. (Pen),
- 5, McCann A. (Pen),
- 5, Burke N. (Pen),
- 6, Hollinshead T. (Pen),
- 6, Mendes L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Newtown
32.6% | Draw
27.9% | Bala Town
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bala Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newtown - Bala Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.21) |
3.44 ↓
(3.7) |
2.43 ↑
(2.02) |
4.4%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newtown - Bala Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bala Town (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Bala Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bala Town will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newtown won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newtown won against Bala Town?
Newtown has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bala Town won against Newtown?
Bala Town has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newtown - Bala Town were as follows:
02.11.2024
Newtown
-
Bala Town
0:0
20.09.2024
Bala Town
-
Newtown
2:2
05.04.2024
Bala Town
-
Newtown
1:1
24.02.2024
Newtown
-
Bala Town
1:5
30.12.2023
Bala Town
-
Newtown
2:1
Latest results of Newtown
Latest results of Bala Town
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Holyhead | Buckley | 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Bye | Newtown | |
| 3 | Guilsfield | Mold Alexandra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Bala | |
| 5 | Llandudno | Bye | |
| 6 | Gresford | Brickfield | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Rhyl | Caersws FC | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Denbigh | Flint Mountain | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Ruthin | Penrhyncoch | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Connahs Q. | |
| 11 | TNS | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Airbus | |
| 13 | Caernarfon | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Colwyn Bay | |
| 15 | Flint | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Holywell | |
| 17 | Treowen | Cambrian United | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Cardiff U21 | Ammanford | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Bye | |
| 20 | Pontypridd | Cwmbran Celtic | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Caerau Ely | Trefelin | 3 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Penybont | |
| 23 | Briton Ferry | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
| 25 | Haverfordwest | Bye | |
| 26 | Newport City | Baglan Dragons | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Llantwit Major | Afan Lido | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Swansea U21 | Carmarthen Town | 4 : 1 |
| 29 | Barry | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Aberystwyth | |
| 31 | Ynyshir Albions | Cardiff Draconians | 4 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Llanelli | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Buckley | Newtown | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Guilsfield | Bala | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | Gresford | 7 : 0 |
| 4 | Rhyl | Denbigh | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Ruthin | Connahs Q. | 0 : 9 |
| 6 | TNS | Airbus | 7 : 1 |
| 7 | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Flint | Holywell | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | Cardiff U21 | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Pontypridd | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Trefelin | Penybont | 1 : 6 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Haverfordwest | Newport City | 5 : 0 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | Swansea U21 | 0 : 5 |
| 15 | Barry | Aberystwyth | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | Llanelli | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Newtown | Bala | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Llandudno | Denbigh | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | TNS | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | Holywell | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | Cardiff Metropolitan | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Penybont | Briton Ferry | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest | Swansea U21 | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Barry | Llanelli | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Newtown | Llandudno | |
| 2 | TNS | Caernarfon | |
| 3 | Cambrian United | Briton Ferry | |
| 4 | Haverfordwest | Barry | |
