Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Championship - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Ards
47.8% | Draw
26.6% | Ballinamallard United
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballinamallard United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballinamallard United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ards - Ballinamallard United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.11) |
3.41 ↓
(3.68) |
3.55 ↑
(2.93) |
10.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 1.
- Ards has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ballinamallard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ards will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ards won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ards won against Ballinamallard United?
Ards has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ballinamallard United won against Ards?
Ballinamallard United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ards - Ballinamallard United were as follows:
31.10.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
1:0
09.08.2025
Ards
-
Ballinamallard United
3:1
25.01.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
2:2
07.12.2024
Ards
-
Ballinamallard United
0:1
24.08.2024
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
2:2
Latest results of Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Annagh ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:24 | 25 | 64 |
| 2 | Limavady ✔ | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | H&W Welders ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 72:35 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Loughgall | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Newington | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:46 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Queens Univ | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Institute | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42:40 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Ards | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 43:42 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundela ✔ | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 34:68 | -34 | 18 |
| 12 | Armagh ✔ | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 26:91 | -65 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Annagh is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Limavady is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
H&W Welders is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
