Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Championship - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Ards
47.8% | Draw
26.6% | Ballinamallard United
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballinamallard United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballinamallard United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ards - Ballinamallard United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.11) |
3.41 ↓
(3.68) |
3.55 ↑
(2.93) |
10.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 1.
- Ards has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ballinamallard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ards will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ards won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ards won against Ballinamallard United?
Ards has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ballinamallard United won against Ards?
Ballinamallard United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ards - Ballinamallard United were as follows:
31.10.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
1:0
09.08.2025
Ards
-
Ballinamallard United
3:1
25.01.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
2:2
07.12.2024
Ards
-
Ballinamallard United
0:1
24.08.2024
Ballinamallard United
-
Ards
2:2
Latest results of Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limavady | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 61:32 | 29 | 71 |
| 2 | Annagh | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 71 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 77:41 | 36 | 59 |
| 4 | Newington | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69:52 | 17 | 51 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Queens Univ | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 47 |
| 7 | Institute | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50:46 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:50 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Dundela | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 37:73 | -36 | 20 |
| 12 | Armagh | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28:100 | -72 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )
