Result
0:3
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Championship - Round 21
Chances of winning
Armagh City
38.1% | Draw
26.1% | Ballinamallard United
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Armagh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Armagh City's performance.Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballinamallard United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Armagh City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballinamallard United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Armagh City - Ballinamallard United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.81) |
3.48 ↓
(3.52) |
2.54 ↑
(2.17) |
10.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Armagh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Armagh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Armagh City won against Ballinamallard United?
Armagh City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ballinamallard United won against Armagh City?
Ballinamallard United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Armagh City - Ballinamallard United were as follows:
11.10.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Armagh City
3:1
26.04.2025
Armagh City
-
Ballinamallard United
0:1
22.03.2025
Ballinamallard United
-
Armagh City
2:0
02.11.2024
Armagh City
-
Ballinamallard United
3:2
28.09.2024
Ballinamallard United
-
Armagh City
1:3
Latest results of Armagh City
Latest results of Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Annagh ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:24 | 25 | 64 |
| 2 | Limavady ✔ | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | H&W Welders ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 72:35 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Loughgall | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Newington | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:46 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Queens Univ | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Institute | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42:40 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Ards | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 43:42 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundela ✔ | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 34:68 | -34 | 18 |
| 12 | Armagh ✔ | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 26:91 | -65 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Annagh is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Limavady is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
H&W Welders is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
