Larne vs Ballkani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1 penalties
15/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Valikonis R. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1314
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
05
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
913
Yellow Cards
54
Attacks
117139
Dangerous Attacks
9795

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', Potoku A. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Hamidi W. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Hamidi W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ives L. 🟨,
  • 63', Gallagher C. 🟨,
  • 73', Sloan D. , Randall M. ,
  • 73', Lusty M. , O'Neill P. ,
  • 79', O'Neill P. 🟨,
  • 84', Kryeziu A. , Tolaj B. ,
  • 90+2', Emerllahu L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 100', Randall M. 🟨,
  • 101', Smajli G. , Giovanni ,
  • 110', Ives L. , Want S. ,
  • 120+2', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Adetunji S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 1)
  • 1, Thomson J. (Pen),
  • 1, Hamidi W. (Pen),
  • 2, Randall M. (Pen),
  • 2, Engjell A. (Pen),
  • 3, Ryan A. (Pen),
  • 3, Dulaj K. (Pen),
  • 4, Gallagher C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Larne
30.1%
Draw
29.7%
Ballkani
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 24.4% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 24.7% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Ballkani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ballkani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballkani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Larne - Ballkani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.37)
    3.13
    (3.83)
    2.33
    (1.95)
    7.1%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Larne - Ballkani?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Ballkani will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Larne: 47.1%83.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Larne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Larne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Ballkani were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Ballkani - Larne 0:1
    03.08.2023 Larne - Ballkani 1:4
    25.07.2023 Ballkani - Larne 3:0
    Latest results of Larne
    08.08.2024 Ballkani - Larne 0:1
    17.07.2024 Larne - RFS 0:4
    10.07.2024 RFS - Larne 3:0
    05.07.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 2:1
    22.06.2024 Stranraer - Larne 1:1
    Latest results of Ballkani
    08.08.2024 Ballkani - Larne 0:1
    30.07.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Ballkani 0:2
    23.07.2024 Ballkani - Hamrun Spartans 0:0
    16.07.2024 Ballkani - UE Santa Coloma 1:3
    09.07.2024 UE Santa Coloma - Ballkani 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2