Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
05/03/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
105
Errors
10
2B - double
40
3B - triple
01
Home runs
02
Runs batted in
33
Left on base
126
Base on balls
55
Strikeouts
913
Stolen bases
20
At bat
3632
Batting average
0.2780.156

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rays
51.4%
Baltimore Orioles
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampa Bay Rays's form might have worsened.
  • Baltimore Orioles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltimore Orioles's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rays, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltimore Orioles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.63)

    1.97
    (2.23)
    4.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Baltimore will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Baltimore (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
    • Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Baltimore has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Baltimore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 95:89. (average 4.8:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:35. (average 5.1:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles were as follows:
    25.02.2026 Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays 4:3
    25.09.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays 6:5
    24.09.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays 2:6
    23.09.2025 Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays 6:0
    20.07.2025 Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles 3:5
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rays
    Latest results of Baltimore Orioles
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves15102387:620.769
    2Pittsburgh Pirates16110593:700.688
    3New York Yankees15100590:600.667
    4Washington Nationals1583462:550.667
    5St.Louis Cardinals1481563:580.615
    6New York Mets1371559:450.583
    7Baltimore Orioles1672762:770.500
    8Boston Red Sox1570887:1050.467
    9Miami Marlins1461748:640.462
    10Toronto Blue Jays1662878:730.429
    11Tampa Bay Rays16601060:720.375
    12Philadelphia Phillies1551974:770.357
    13Houston Astros1543849:570.333
    14Minnesota Twins15411069:910.286
    15Detroit Tigers1433868:830.273


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1San Francisco Giants151302112:670.867
    2Los Angeles Dodgers161006109:870.625
    3Chicago White Sox17100792:690.588
    4Colorado Rockies1581698:940.571
    5Milwaukee Brewers1580787:730.533
    6San Diego Padres16808105:790.500
    7Cleveland Guardians17818100:890.500
    8Texas Rangers1680888:810.500
    9Cincinnati Reds1470797:1090.500
    10Chicago Cubs1670970:880.438
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1670983:1090.438
    12Kansas City Royals1561890:880.429
    13Los Angeles Angels18701182:1190.389
    14Athletics16601082:1000.375
    15Seattle Mariners16411183:1260.267