Balzan vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
134
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
101
Corner Kicks
112
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hili B. , Bacanin M. ,
  • 51', Busuttil J. (Pen),
  • 52', Lukovic L. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Maicon Souza ,
  • 65', Maicon Souza , Yasukaze I. ,
  • 70', Golovic D. , Ciappara D. ,
  • 70', Busuttil J. , Westendorf I. ,
  • 78', Lukovic L. , Ndombasi Tukilonga M. ,
  • 78', Blasco V. , Grech J. ,
  • 83', Farias E. , Bonanno G. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Dimeji A. ,
  • 90+1', Pulis N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hugo Santos , Hernandez A. ,
  • 90+4', Debono M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dimeji A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Balzan
40.5%
Draw
27.7%
Naxxar Lions
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 28.1% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 27.8% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Balzan - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.07)
    3.28
    (3.25)
    2.87
    (3.31)
    9.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Balzan - Naxxar Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Balzan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Balzan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Balzan - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Naxxar Lions - Balzan 0:3
    22.12.2024 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 2:1
    29.08.2024 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 2:0
    08.03.2024 Naxxar Lions - Balzan 1:1
    05.11.2023 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Balzan
    27.04.2025 Paola Hibernians - Balzan 1:1
    13.04.2025 Balzan - Melita 3:1
    04.04.2025 Gżira United - Balzan 0:0
    28.03.2025 Gżira United - Balzan 0:0
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana ✔ 963017:51221
    2Hamrun ✔ 954012:21019
    3Marsaxlokk952210:10017
    4Gzira942312:10214
    5Naxxar942317:16114
    6Valletta934212:5713
    7Sliema93428:9-113
    8Birkirkara933310:7312
    9Hibernians932410:14-411
    10Zabbar ✔ 91357:11-46
    11Tarxien ✔ 91267:17-105
    12Mosta ✔ 90182:18-161

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
          Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
    Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
    Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
    Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
    Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )