Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hili B. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
- 51', Busuttil J. (Pen),
- 52', Lukovic L. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Maicon Souza ⚽,
- 65', Maicon Souza ↓, Yasukaze I. ↑,
- 70', Golovic D. ↓, Ciappara D. ↑,
- 70', Busuttil J. ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,
- 78', Lukovic L. ↓, Ndombasi Tukilonga M. ↑,
- 78', Blasco V. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
- 83', Farias E. ↓, Bonanno G. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Dimeji A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Pulis N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hugo Santos ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 90+4', Debono M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Dimeji A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Balzan
40.5% | Draw
27.7% | Naxxar Lions
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Balzan - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.07) |
3.28 ↑
(3.25) |
2.87 ↓
(3.31) |
9.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Balzan - Naxxar Lions?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Balzan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Balzan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Balzan won against Naxxar Lions?
Balzan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Balzan?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Balzan - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
10.02.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Balzan
0:3
22.12.2024
Balzan
-
Naxxar Lions
2:1
29.08.2024
Balzan
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
08.03.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Balzan
1:1
05.11.2023
Balzan
-
Naxxar Lions
1:2
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Valletta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Sliema | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Hibernians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Gzira | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Naxxar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
