Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.421.26
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
75
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
44
Passes
75% (217/288)83% (297/358)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.421.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.881.33
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
98
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
75% (217/288)83% (297/358)
Long passes
43% (23/54)72% (36/50)
Passes in final third
65% (70/108)72% (92/128)
Crosses
38% (6/16)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.65
Throw ins
2714
Fouls
1210
Tackles
63% (5/8)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3351
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.332.88
Goals prevented
0.33-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', Akdag I. 🟨,
  • 35', Douglas Tanque 🟥,
  • 39', Akdag I. 🟥,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Diouf M. , Caliskan O. (A),
  • 45+6', Albayrak M. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ceylan O. , Badji A. ,
  • 60', Roshi O. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Roshi O. ,
  • 65', Fernandes J. , Ayan H. ,
  • 65', Roshi O. , Diaby O. ,
  • 67', Fall M. , Akyazi K. ,
  • 67', Albayrak M. , Acar E. ,
  • 75', Bulut H. , Bilgic H. ,
  • 81', Parmak A. , Cinemre E. ,
  • 81', Gumuskaya M. , Esendemir Y. ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Aydin E. , Kehinde T. (A),
  • 89', Ezeh F. , Akman A. ,
  • 90', Dere A. , Lus S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
47%
Draw
27.3%
Bandırmaspor
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.9% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.5% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.82)
    3.39
    (3.73)
    3.59
    (3.87)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
    • Recent form of Keçiörengücü has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bandırmaspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Mulumba R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Amaral J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1
    26.01.2025 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 1:2
    17.08.2024 Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor 1:2
    05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 2:1
    20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor 1:3
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to