Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (217/288) | 83% (297/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (217/288) | 83% (297/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 72% (36/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/108) | 72% (92/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Akdag I. 🟨,
- 35', Douglas Tanque 🟥,
- 39', Akdag I. 🟥,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Caliskan O. (A),
- 45+6', Albayrak M. 🟨,
- 45+7', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ceylan O. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 60', Roshi O. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 0, Roshi O. ⚽,
- 65', Fernandes J. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 65', Roshi O. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
- 67', Fall M. ↓, Akyazi K. ↑,
- 67', Albayrak M. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
- 75', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
- 81', Parmak A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
- 81', Gumuskaya M. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Aydin E. ⚽, Kehinde T. (A),
- 89', Ezeh F. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
- 90', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
47% | Draw
27.3% | Bandırmaspor
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.82) |
3.39 ↓
(3.73) |
3.59 ↓
(3.87) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
- Recent form of Keçiörengücü has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bandırmaspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
Mulumba R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Amaral J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Bandırmaspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Bandırmaspor has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
14.09.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
26.01.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:2
17.08.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Bandırmaspor
1:2
05.05.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:1
20.12.2023
Keçiörengücü
-
Bandırmaspor
1:3
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
