Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.421.26
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
75
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
44
Passes
75% (217/288)83% (297/358)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.421.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.881.33
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
98
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1012
Passes
75% (217/288)83% (297/358)
Long passes
43% (23/54)72% (36/50)
Passes in final third
65% (70/108)72% (92/128)
Crosses
38% (6/16)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.65
Throw ins
2714
Fouls
1210
Tackles
63% (5/8)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3351
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.332.88
Goals prevented
0.33-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', Akdag I. 🟨,
  • 35', Douglas Tanque 🟥,
  • 39', Akdag I. 🟥,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Diouf M. , Caliskan O. (A),
  • 45+6', Albayrak M. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 2 - 0, Fernandes J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ceylan O. , Badji A. ,
  • 60', Roshi O. 🟨,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Roshi O. ,
  • 65', Fernandes J. , Ayan H. ,
  • 65', Roshi O. , Diaby O. ,
  • 67', Fall M. , Akyazi K. ,
  • 67', Albayrak M. , Acar E. ,
  • 75', Bulut H. , Bilgic H. ,
  • 81', Parmak A. , Cinemre E. ,
  • 81', Gumuskaya M. , Esendemir Y. ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Aydin E. , Kehinde T. (A),
  • 89', Ezeh F. , Akman A. ,
  • 90', Dere A. , Lus S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
47%
Draw
27.3%
Bandırmaspor
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.9% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 25.5% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.82)
    3.39
    (3.73)
    3.59
    (3.87)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1.
    • Recent form of Keçiörengücü has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bandırmaspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Keçiörengücü might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Mulumba R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Amaral J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1
    26.01.2025 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 1:2
    17.08.2024 Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor 1:2
    05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü 2:1
    20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor 1:3
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation