Result
0:2
30/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 18
- Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Cernych F. ↓, Armanavicius V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 73', 0 - 1, Tolordava A. ⚽,
- 80', Ambrazaitis M. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
- 80', Srebalius P. ↓, El Harmazi N. ↑,
- 80', Venckus I. ↓, Emsis A. ↑,
- 81', Georgijevic D. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
- 81', Pavlovic D. ↓, Naah D. ↑,
- 87', Simao J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Armanavicius V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Benchaib A. ↓, Burdzilauskas E. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Ourega F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Banga Gargždai
12.7% | Draw
22.1% | Kauno Žalgiris
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banga Gargždai's form might have worsened.Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.29 ↑
(5.2) |
4.17 ↑
(3.5) |
1.42 ↓
(1.7) |
8.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Banga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kauno Žalgiris: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Banga (votes: 1 - 50%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 3.
- Banga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kauno Žalgiris is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Kauno Žalgiris?
Banga Gargždai has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kauno Žalgiris won against Banga Gargždai?
Kauno Žalgiris has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris were as follows:
27.04.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
0:1
19.10.2024
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
1:1
18.09.2024
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
0:1
26.07.2024
Banga Gargždai
-
Kauno Žalgiris
1:1
24.04.2024
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
0:3
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
