Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 11:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 29
- Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Petkevicius N. ⚽,
- 28', Antuzis V. 🟨,
- 38', Sabo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Sakurai K. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
- 73', Stankevicius D. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 73', Luksys N. ↓, Pyrogov M. ↑,
- 76', Laton 🟨,
- 77', Srebalius P. ↓, Emsis A. ↑,
- 77', Olugbogi P. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
- 86', Baltrunas Z. 🟨,
- 86', Laton ↓, Filipavicius R. ↑,
- 90+3', Haidara A. ↓, Bickauskas P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Banga Gargždai
17.5% | Draw
29.1% | Sūduva Marijampolė
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banga Gargždai's form might have worsened.Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.79 ↑
(2.73) |
3.49 ↑
(3.34) |
1.9 ↓
(2.27) |
-1.5%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Banga will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sūduva will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is -1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 1.
- Banga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sūduva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sūduva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sūduva has had a series of home games.
- Sūduva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Banga Gargždai has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Banga Gargždai?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:1
11.05.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
09.03.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
1:0
27.10.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:0
02.08.2024
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
1:0
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:19 | 39 | 64 |
| 2 | Hegelmann | 29 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 46:35 | 11 | 56 |
| 3 | Suduva | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 48:38 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Banga | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 25:31 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 29:65 | -36 | 17 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 23:60 | -37 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
