Banga Gargždai vs Sūduva Marijampolė – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Banga Gargždai
31.1%
Draw
30.5%
Sūduva Marijampolė
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 28.6% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 28.3% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sūduva Marijampolė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sūduva Marijampolė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (3.33)
    2.99
    (3.19)
    2.38
    (2.08)
    9.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 0.
    • Banga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sūduva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Banga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sūduva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:1
    17.08.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai 2:1
    11.05.2025 Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:1
    09.03.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai 1:0
    27.10.2024 Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai 2:0
    Latest results of Banga Gargždai
    Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė