Result
11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Banga Gargždai 31.1% | Draw 30.5% | Sūduva Marijampolė 38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sūduva Marijampolė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sūduva Marijampolė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↓ (3.33) |
2.99 ↓ (3.19) |
2.38 ↑ (2.08) |
9.5% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 0.
- Banga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sūduva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Banga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sūduva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Banga Gargždai has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Banga Gargždai?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
21.09.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
17.08.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:1
11.05.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
09.03.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
1:0
27.10.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:0
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė