Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TOPLYGA - Round 8
- Referee: Amsiejus E. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LNK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Magdusauskas V. ⚽,
- 33', Steponavicius F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Omori Y. ↓, Sabo A. ↑,
- 46', Stockunas E. ↓, Sanokho S. M. ↑,
- 47', Olugbogi A. 🟨,
- 48', Zivanovic A. 🟨,
- 63', Zivanovic A. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
- 63', Steponavicius F. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
- 64', Haydary O. 🟨,
- 71', Malzinskas D. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Haydary O. ⚽,
- 71', Filipavicius R. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Magdusauskas V. ⚽,
- 77', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Norvilas D. ↑,
- 77', Filipavicius R. ↓, Ambrazaitis M. ↑,
- 77', Sato M. ↓, Fosuhene Asare K. ↑,
- 77', Haydary O. ↓, Dhouib W. ↑,
- 79', Lucky T. 🟨,
- 89', Venckus I. ↓, Malzinskas D. ↑,
- 89', Olugbogi A. ↓, Cadu ↑,
Chances of winning
Banga Gargždai
30.4% | Draw
31.7% | Sūduva Marijampolė
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sūduva Marijampolė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sūduva Marijampolė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.33) |
2.92 ↓
(3.19) |
2.44 ↑
(2.08) |
8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 0.
- Recent form of Banga has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Sūduva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Banga Gargždai has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Banga Gargždai?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
21.09.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
17.08.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:1
11.05.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
0:1
09.03.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
1:0
27.10.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Banga Gargždai
2:0
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
