Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/353) | 77% (286/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/353) | 77% (286/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (114/165) | 56% (46/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Inpaen S. 🟨,
- 42', Booncharee S. 🟥,
- 45+4', Lalic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Becerra J. ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
- 46', Arthur ↓, Kangkratok N. ↑,
- 46', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 54', Kusano Y. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Mita H. ⚽, James L. (A),
- 79', Kongsri P. 🟨,
- 80', Poomchantuek R. ↓, Jarunongkran W. ↑,
- 80', Selanon N. ↓, Srinawong C. ↑,
- 83', Kongsri P. ↓, Pomphan W. ↑,
- 85', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 85', Inaram W. ↓, Praisuwan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Rivaldinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Dennis Murillo ↓, Mateus ↑,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
29.4% | Draw
28.1% | Bangkok United
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Ratchasima's performance.Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangkok United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Ratchasima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+18.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangkok United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(5.19) |
3.35 ↓
(4.1) |
2.22 ↑
(1.54) |
6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangkok United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 0.
- Recent performances by Nakhon Ratchasima have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bangkok United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bangkok United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Bangkok United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bangkok United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Bangkok United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
3:1
02.02.2025
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:1
14.09.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Bangkok United
1:1
01.03.2023
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
05.02.2023
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Bangkok United
0:4
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Bangkok United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
