Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/353) | 77% (286/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (278/353) | 77% (286/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (114/165) | 56% (46/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Inpaen S. 🟨,
- 42', Booncharee S. 🟥,
- 45+4', Lalic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Becerra J. ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
- 46', Arthur ↓, Kangkratok N. ↑,
- 46', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 54', Kusano Y. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Mita H. ⚽, James L. (A),
- 79', Kongsri P. 🟨,
- 80', Poomchantuek R. ↓, Jarunongkran W. ↑,
- 80', Selanon N. ↓, Srinawong C. ↑,
- 83', Kongsri P. ↓, Pomphan W. ↑,
- 85', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
- 85', Inaram W. ↓, Praisuwan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Rivaldinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Dennis Murillo ↓, Mateus ↑,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
29.4% | Draw
28.1% | Bangkok United
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Ratchasima's performance.Bangkok United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangkok United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Ratchasima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok United than the current prediction. (+18.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangkok United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(5.19) |
3.35 ↓
(4.1) |
2.22 ↑
(1.54) |
6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangkok United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 0.
- Recent performances by Nakhon Ratchasima have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bangkok United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bangkok United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Bangkok United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bangkok United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Bangkok United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Bangkok United were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
3:1
02.02.2025
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:1
14.09.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Bangkok United
1:1
01.03.2023
Bangkok United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
05.02.2023
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Bangkok United
0:4
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Bangkok United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 39:34 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39:43 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 29 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi ✔ | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Kanchanaburi is Relegated to Thai League 2
