Result
3:1
16/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (522/589) | 77% (229/296) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (522/589) | 77% (229/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (20/34) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (136/172) | 44% (16/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽, Guga (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Bernal F. (A),
- 42', Patryck 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Sibito ↓, Luizinho ↑,
- 57', Bruno Boca ↓, Ricardo Sena ↑,
- 58', Garrinsha ↓, Welington Zaru ↑,
- 66', Martinelli ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 67', John Kennedy ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 70', Dudu 🟨,
- 72', Canobbio A. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
- 72', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 72', Dioguinho ↓, Pedro China ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, PH Ganso (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Mauro ↓, Kauan Guilherme ↑,
- 82', PH Ganso ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Ricardo Sena ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
78.4% | Draw
14.7% | Bangu
6.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Fluminense - Bangu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.2) |
6.27 ↑
(5.56) |
13.46 ↓
(14.38) |
8.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Bangu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Fluminense (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.
- Fluminense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Bangu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bangu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:6. (average 2.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Bangu?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bangu won against Fluminense?
Bangu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Bangu were as follows:
23.02.2025
Fluminense
-
Bangu
3:2
01.02.2024
Fluminense
-
Bangu
4:1
04.03.2023
Bangu
-
Fluminense
0:5
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 3 : 0 |
Final
