Volta Redonda vs Bangu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Taca Rio - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilPremiere

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.080.36
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
75
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
101
Passes
87% (362/418)77% (232/300)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.080.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.66
Total shots
199
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1621
Passes
87% (362/418)77% (232/300)
Long passes
50% (14/28)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
68% (85/125)51% (38/74)
Crosses
18% (8/45)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.22
Throw ins
2712
Fouls
2116
Tackles
60% (9/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5548
Clearances
1547
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
0.660.85
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, MV , Bruno Barra (A),
  • 28', MV 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Patryck , Luizinho (A),
  • 33', Kadu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rafael Castro , Dener ,
  • 50', Lucas Adell 🟨,
  • 59', Dudu 🟨,
  • 68', Luizinho , Garrinsha ,
  • 68', Pedro China , Kauan Guilherme ,
  • 70', Marquinhos , Kaua Uba ,
  • 70', Wagninho , Blanco O. ,
  • 78', Walber , Douglas Lima ,
  • 78', MV , Caetano ,
  • 82', Ricardo Sena , Bruno Boca ,
  • 83', Kadu , Patrick ,
  • 88', Jean Victor , Juninho Monteiro ,

Chances of winning


Volta Redonda
62.4%
Draw
23.6%
Bangu
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 25.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 23.9% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.
  • Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Volta Redonda - Bangu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.64)
    3.92
    (3.58)
    6.65
    (5.17)
    8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Bangu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Volta Redonda has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Volta Redonda is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Volta Redonda - Bangu were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Bangu - Volta Redonda 1:0
    19.01.2025 Bangu - Volta Redonda 0:1
    07.02.2024 Bangu - Volta Redonda 1:1
    26.02.2023 Bangu - Volta Redonda 0:4
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    20.02.2026 Bangu - Volta Redonda 1:0
    07.02.2026 Volta Redonda - Madureira 1:1
    02.02.2026 Maricá - Volta Redonda 1:2
    Latest results of Bangu
    20.02.2026 Bangu - Volta Redonda 1:0
    16.02.2026 Fluminense - Bangu 3:1
    07.02.2026 Bangu - Boavista 1:1
    30.01.2026 Nova Iguaçu - Bangu 1:2
    24.01.2026 Botafogo RJ - Bangu 2:0
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FluminenseBangu3 : 1
    2VascoVolta Redonda2 : 1
    3Botafogo RJFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4MadureiraBoavista2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FluminenseVasco1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Flamengo RJMadureira8 : 0, 3 : 0

    Final
    1FluminenseFlamengo RJ0 : 1