Result
2:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Prekop E. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Latal D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
- 46', Elitim J. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Nsame J. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
- 74', 2 - 1, Pojezny K. (Own goal), Morishita R. (A),
- 77', Morishita R. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
- 77', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 79', Sin M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 79', Holzer D. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 81', Nsame J. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 90', Buchta D. (Pen),
- 90', Vinagre R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Buchta D. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
- 90+1', Rigo T. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 90+1', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Vinagre R. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 90+5', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
64% | Draw
21.3% | Baník Ostrava
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.67) |
4.41 ↑
(3.66) |
6.36 ↑
(4) |
5.3%
(12.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65.7% – 89.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg. Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Baník Ostrava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Baník Ostrava?
Legia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Legia Warsaw?
Baník Ostrava has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
24.07.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Legia Warsaw
2:2
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ludogorets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Genk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | FCSB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Betis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Crvena zvezda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | PAOK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Brann | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Malmo FF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Salzburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 | Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 | G.A. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 | Young Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
