Legia Warsaw vs Baník Ostrava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava
Result
2:1
31/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
149
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
627
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
196
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Prekop E. , Buchta D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Latal D. , Kpozo P. ,
  • 46', Elitim J. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Nsame J. , Kapustka B. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Pojezny K. (Own goal), Morishita R. (A),
  • 77', Morishita R. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 77', Bichakhchyan V. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 79', Sin M. , Zlatohlavek T. ,
  • 79', Holzer D. , Owusu D. ,
  • 81', Nsame J. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 90', Buchta D. (Pen),
  • 90', Vinagre R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Buchta D. , Munksgaard A. ,
  • 90+1', Rigo T. , Almasi L. ,
  • 90+1', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vinagre R. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 90+5', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
64%
Draw
21.3%
Baník Ostrava
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 24.4% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 22.6% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.67)
    4.41
    (3.66)
    6.36
    (4)
    5.3%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65.7%89.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg. Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Baník Ostrava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Baník Ostrava - Legia Warsaw 2:2
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    20.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Postponed
    17.07.2025 Aktobe - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24