Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Volek S. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (375/451) | 78% (254/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (375/451) | 78% (254/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/167) | 68% (65/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 10% (3/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pira J. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
- 39', Macek R. 🟨,
- 45+2', Zika J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Penner N. ↓, John S. ↑,
- 46', Macek R. ↓, Pech Da. ↑,
- 46', Langhamer D. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,
- 61', Frydek Ch. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 66', Lischka D. 🟨,
- 73', Klima J. ↓, Krulich M. ↑,
- 73', Havran M. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
- 77', Planka D. 🟨,
- 84', Prebsl F. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Sevcik M. (Pen),
- 88', Pira J. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 88', Plavsic S. ↓, Sehic E. ↑,
- 89', Musak A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mladá Boleslav
37.8% | Draw
25.6% | Baník Ostrava
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.55) |
3.76 ↑
(3.65) |
2.56 ↑
(2.55) |
4.3%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 1.
- In recent matches, Mladá Boleslav has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Baník Ostrava has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mladá Boleslav may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Baník Ostrava?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Mladá Boleslav?
Baník Ostrava has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
09.03.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:1
06.10.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Baník Ostrava
0:0
11.05.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Mladá Boleslav
0:1
17.02.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
02.09.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:0
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Zlin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Liberec | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Karvina | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Ostrava | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Teplice | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Dukla Prague | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
