Result
0:0
22/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 81% (355/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/396) | 81% (355/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/122) | 74% (96/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Macek R. 🟨,
- 37', Kohut M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Buchta D. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 63', Sevcik M. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
- 63', Bewene A. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 74', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 74', Holzer D. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
- 76', Kabongo C. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
- 77', John S. ↓, Pech Da. ↑,
- 77', Kozel D. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,
- 82', Buryan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
58.6% | Draw
22.5% | Mladá Boleslav
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.71) |
4.14 ↑
(3.92) |
4.89 ↑
(4.36) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
- Recent performances by Baník Ostrava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mladá Boleslav's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Mladá Boleslav?
Baník Ostrava has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Baník Ostrava?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
21.09.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Baník Ostrava
1:1
09.03.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Mladá Boleslav
2:1
06.10.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Baník Ostrava
0:0
11.05.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Mladá Boleslav
0:1
17.02.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
