Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava).

Chance Liga - Round 23
Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.02	0.46
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
5	7
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
8	3
Passes
79% (314/396)	81% (355/439)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.02	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	1.40
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
11	16
Passes
79% (314/396)	81% (355/439)
Long passes
45% (24/53)	56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
62% (76/122)	74% (96/129)
Crosses
22% (6/27)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.29
Throw ins
18	16
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
75% (12/16)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
45	56
Clearances
15	31
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	5
xGOT faced
1.40	0.66
Goals prevented
1.40	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Macek R. 🟨,
37', Kohut M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Buchta D. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
63', Sevcik M. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
63', Bewene A. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
74', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
74', Holzer D. ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
76', Kabongo C. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
77', John S. ↓, Pech Da. ↑,
77', Kozel D. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,
82', Buryan J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Baník Ostrava
58.6%

Draw
22.5%

Mladá Boleslav
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	4.14 ↑ (3.92)	4.89 ↑ (4.36)	7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 42.8% – 90.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baník Ostrava will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
Recent performances by Baník Ostrava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mladá Boleslav's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
In this match, Baník Ostrava is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Mladá Boleslav?

Baník Ostrava has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Baník Ostrava?

Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:

21.09.2025 Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava 1:1

09.03.2025 Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav 2:1

06.10.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava 0:0

11.05.2024 Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav 0:1

17.02.2024 Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava 1:3

Latest results of Baník Ostrava

15.02.2026 Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc 2:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Slovácko - Baník Ostrava 2:2 ✺

22.01.2026 Widzew Łódź - Baník Ostrava 3:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Aktobe - Baník Ostrava 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Mladá Boleslav

15.02.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Teplice 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Slavia Prague - Mladá Boleslav 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Bohemians 1905 2:2 ✺

21.01.2026 Aarhus Fremad - Mladá Boleslav 2:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Mladá Boleslav - Chrudim 0:2 ✺

Czech 1 Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slavia Prague ✔	27	20	7	0	60:20	40	67
2	Sparta Prague ✔	27	17	6	4	56:30	26	57
3	Plzen ✔	27	14	7	6	49:33	16	49
4	Jablonec	27	14	6	7	35:27	8	48
5	Liberec	27	11	9	7	40:26	14	42
6	Hradec Kralove	27	11	7	9	37:32	5	40
7	Sigma Olomouc	27	11	7	9	30:29	1	40
8	Karvina	27	10	3	14	38:46	-8	33
9	FK Pardubice	27	8	8	11	33:44	-11	32
10	Zlin	27	8	7	12	32:41	-9	31
11	Mlada Boleslav	27	7	9	11	40:51	-11	30
12	Teplice	27	6	11	10	27:33	-6	29
13	Bohemians	27	7	6	14	20:34	-14	27
14	Slovacko	27	5	8	14	23:38	-15	23
15	Ostrava	27	5	7	15	24:38	-14	22
16	Dukla Prague ✔	27	3	10	14	16:38	-22	19

      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
      Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )