Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
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| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', de Jesus B. 🟨,
- 27', Vizcay T. 🟨,
- 30', Alvarez P. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Zabala M. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Mattheus C. ⚽,
- 45+9', Ropero I. 🟨,
- 45+9', Vizcay T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Castillo I. ↓, Sabin ↑,
- 46', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
- 46', Mattheus C. ↓, Fernandez Cozar M. ↑,
- 57', Sabin 🟨,
- 60', Galarza A. 🟨,
- 60', Mandiang S. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
- 64', Navarro S. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
- 66', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Valino A. ⚽,
- 70', Collado U. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
- 74', Arana M. 🟨,
- 79', Zabala M. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
- 79', Sustatxa A. ↓, Glazer T. ↑,
- 82', Molina E. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
- 88', Pena A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arenas Club de Getxo 32.7% | Draw 30.2% | Barakaldo 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barakaldo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↓ (3.17) |
3.05 (3.05) |
2.47 ↑ (2.3) |
8.8% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barakaldo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arenas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Club de Getxo won against Barakaldo?
Arenas Club de Getxo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Arenas Club de Getxo?
Barakaldo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo were as follows:
12.09.2025
Barakaldo
-
Arenas Club de Getxo
2:1
09.08.2025
Barakaldo
-
Arenas Club de Getxo
0:0
21.01.2024
Barakaldo
-
Arenas Club de Getxo
1:0
09.09.2023
Arenas Club de Getxo
-
Barakaldo
1:1
05.08.2023
Arenas Club de Getxo
-
Barakaldo
1:3
Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation