Força e Luz vs Baraúnas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar Força e Luz - Baraúnas
Result
1:1
01/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Potiguar - First stage - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Força e Luz
18.9%
Draw
23.9%
Baraúnas
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.3% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 19.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Força e Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Força e Luz's form might have worsened.
  • Baraúnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baraúnas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força e Luz than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Força e Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baraúnas than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baraúnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Força e Luz - Baraúnas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.76
    (3.5)
    3.77
    (3.43)
    1.57
    (1.89)
    11.2%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Relegation).
    • Força e Luz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Baraúnas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Força e Luz have a series of guest games.
    • Baraúnas will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Força e Luz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Força e Luz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Força e Luz - Baraúnas were as follows:
    10.01.2024 Baraúnas - Força e Luz 2:0
    Latest results of Força e Luz
    Latest results of Baraúnas
    29.01.2025 Baraúnas - ABC 0:1
    26.01.2025 Potiguar - Baraúnas 2:0
    19.01.2025 Baraúnas - Globo FC 2:0
    11.01.2025 América RN - Baraúnas 5:0
    Draw
    First stage - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ABC (1)Bye
    2Laguna RN (3)Globo (6)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    3America RN (2)Bye
    4Potiguar de Mossoru00f3 (4)Santa Cruz de Natal (5)0 : 1, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ABC (1)Laguna RN (3)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2America RN (2)Santa Cruz de Natal (5)2 : 0, 1 : 2

    Final
    1ABC (1)America RN (2)0 : 1, 1 : 1