Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Atlético de Alagoinhas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas
Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTVE Bahia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
78
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
46
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Jadson Sergipano , Souza M. ,
  • 27', Hippolito 🟨,
  • 29', Eydison 🟨,
  • 33', Geovani 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Cadu ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Eydison , Maranhao L. ,
  • 57', Lucas Lucena , Victor Luiz ,
  • 71', Gianlucas 🟨,
  • 72', Hippolito , Willian Kaefer ,
  • 72', Guimaraes , Ramires ,
  • 74', Gradici A. , Luciano ,
  • 74', Geovani , Joao Pedro ,
  • 76', Rafael Copetti 🟨,
  • 83', Lidio , Jaques ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
44.9%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético de Alagoinhas
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 30.3% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 31.1% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona de Ilhéus's performance.
  • Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Alagoinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona de Ilhéus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.3)
    2.86
    (2.94)
    3.74
    (2.88)
    11.9%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Atlético Alagoinhas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Barcelona will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus 1:0
    11.01.2023 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas 1:1
    Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
    Latest results of Atlético de Alagoinhas
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2