Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | TVE Bahia |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 7 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Jadson Sergipano ↓, Souza M. ↑,
- 27', Hippolito 🟨,
- 29', Eydison 🟨,
- 33', Geovani 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Cadu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Eydison ↓, Maranhao L. ↑,
- 57', Lucas Lucena ↓, Victor Luiz ↑,
- 71', Gianlucas 🟨,
- 72', Hippolito ↓, Willian Kaefer ↑,
- 72', Guimaraes ↓, Ramires ↑,
- 74', Gradici A. ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 74', Geovani ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 76', Rafael Copetti 🟨,
- 83', Lidio ↓, Jaques ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona de Ilhéus 44.9% | Draw 31.3% | Atlético de Alagoinhas 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona de Ilhéus's performance.Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Alagoinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona de Ilhéus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.3) |
2.86 ↓ (2.94) |
3.74 ↑ (2.88) |
11.9% (12.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Atlético Alagoinhas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Barcelona will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against Atlético de Alagoinhas?
Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Alagoinhas won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?
Atlético de Alagoinhas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Atlético de Alagoinhas were as follows:
03.03.2024
Atlético de Alagoinhas
-
Barcelona de Ilhéus
1:0
11.01.2023
Barcelona de Ilhéus
-
Atlético de Alagoinhas
1:1
Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
Latest results of Atlético de Alagoinhas
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Vitoria (1) | Alagoinhas (4) | 3 : 0, 4 : 0 |
2 | Jacuipense (2) | Bahia (3) | 0 : 5, 2 : 1 |
Final1 | Vitoria (1) | Bahia (3) | 1 : 1, 0 : 2 |