Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia
Result
0:1
15/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTVE Bahia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
417
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
210
Corner Kicks
413
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Willian Jose ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kaua Davi , Michel Araujo ,
  • 73', Tiago , Ruan Pablo ,
  • 75', John Lessa , Ale Santos ,
  • 81', Willian Jose , Dell ,
  • 81', Cauly , Juninho ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
14.7%
Draw
25.5%
Bahia
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 27.5% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 26.6% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (4.96)
    3.57
    (3.27)
    1.53
    (1.66)
    9.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches Barcelona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bahia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bahia is absolute favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia were as follows:
    31.01.2024 Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus 2:0
    01.02.2023 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia 1:2
    Latest results of Bahia
    12.02.2025 Bahia - América RN 5:1
    05.02.2025 Juazeirense - Bahia 0:0
    01.02.2025 Bahia - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    29.01.2025 Jequié - Bahia 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2