Itabuna vs Barcelona de Ilhéus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus
Result
0:1
14/02/2024 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: BAIANO - ROUND 7

Chances of winning


Itabuna
26.5%
Draw
29.6%
Barcelona de Ilhéus
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.8% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 32.2% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabuna's form might have worsened.
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona de Ilhéus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.38)
    3.04
    (3)
    2.05
    (2.75)
    11%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Itabuna will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Itabuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus were as follows:
    21.01.2023 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Itabuna 0:1
    Latest results of Itabuna
    07.02.2024 Bahia - Itabuna 5:0
    01.02.2024 Juazeirense - Itabuna 1:1
    29.01.2024 Itabuna - Jacuipense 3:1
    23.01.2024 Itabuna - Bahia de Feira 1:1
    18.01.2024 Jacobina - Itabuna 1:1
    Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2