Result
0:1
14/02/2024 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Itabuna 26.5% | Draw 29.6% | Barcelona de Ilhéus 43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabuna's form might have worsened.Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona de Ilhéus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↑ (2.38) |
3.04 ↑ (3) |
2.05 ↓ (2.75) |
11% (11.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Itabuna will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Itabuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabuna won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?
Itabuna has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against Itabuna?
Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus were as follows:
21.01.2023
Barcelona de Ilhéus
-
Itabuna
0:1
Latest results of Itabuna
Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Vitoria (1) | Alagoinhas (4) | 3 : 0, 4 : 0 |
2 | Jacuipense (2) | Bahia (3) | 0 : 5, 2 : 1 |
Final1 | Vitoria (1) | Bahia (3) | 1 : 1, 0 : 2 |