Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 38
  • Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
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brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
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polandPolandEleven Sports 1
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romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
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slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
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south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainGolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.233.47
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (168/216)92% (662/718)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.233.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.122.40
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1021
Passes
78% (168/216)92% (662/718)
Long passes
49% (22/45)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
65% (55/84)76% (77/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.66
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
2110
Tackles
64% (7/11)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4352
Clearances
1914
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.400.12
Goals prevented
-0.600.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Lewandowski R. , Lopez F. (A),
  • 17', 0 - 2, Lewandowski R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 62', Gomez U. , Sancet O. ,
  • 62', Nunez U. , Vivian D. ,
  • 64', Araujo R. , Christensen A. ,
  • 64', Raphinha , Olmo D. ,
  • 75', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
  • 80', Williams N. , Williams I. ,
  • 81', Pedri , de Jong F. ,
  • 81', Balde A. , Martin G. ,
  • 89', de Marcos O. , Lekue I. ,
  • 89', Lewandowski R. , Victor P. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Olmo D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
31.7%
Draw
24.5%
Barcelona
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 26.1% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 26.7% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.12)
    3.92
    (3.73)
    2.2
    (2.27)
    3.9%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 47.5%77.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Athletic is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1.
    • Athletic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2
    24.08.2024 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    03.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:0
    24.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 4:2
    22.10.2023 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Barcelona
    18.05.2025 Barcelona - Villarreal 2:3
    15.05.2025 Espanyol - Barcelona 0:2
    11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3
    03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2