Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

LaLiga - Round 27
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Disney+, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.44
Ball possession
30%	70%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	4
Passes
74% (195/262)	89% (586/659)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.86	0.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.08	1.07
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
7	5
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
7	4
Free kicks
9	11
Passes
74% (195/262)	89% (586/659)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
53% (40/76)	71% (75/106)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.51
Throw ins
19	16
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
73% (16/22)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
43	47
Clearances
19	22
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.07	1.08
Goals prevented
0.07	1.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Gomez U. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bernal M. ↓, Pedri ↑,
46', Sanchez S. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
50', Rego A. 🟨,
57', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
62', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
62', Rashford M. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
62', Olmo D. ↓, Fermín ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Pedri (A),
69', Rego A. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
69', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
74', Jauregizar M. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
78', Casado M. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
90+3', Vivian D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
20.6%

Draw
22.2%

Barcelona
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

21.8%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.3%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (4.83)	4.31 ↓ (4.34)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	4.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Athletic (1.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.75 - Barcelona (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Athletic (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Athletic (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Barcelona (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Barcelona (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Athletic (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (73 of 82 users predict this - 89.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.25% – 95.79%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 7 - 20%). Barcelona (votes: 28 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Hamstring Injury) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Barcelona?

Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Athletic Bilbao?

Barcelona has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona were as follows:

07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0

22.11.2025 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 4:0

25.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:3

08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2

24.08.2024 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

04.03.2026 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Elche 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona

03.03.2026 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Barcelona - Villarreal 4:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Barcelona - Levante 3:0 ✺

16.02.2026 Girona - Barcelona 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	30	25	1	4	80:29	51	76
2	Real Madrid	30	22	3	5	64:28	36	69
3	Villarreal	30	18	4	8	54:35	19	58
4	Atl. Madrid	30	17	6	7	50:30	20	57
5	Betis	30	11	12	7	44:37	7	45
6	Celta Vigo	30	11	11	8	44:37	7	44
7	Real Sociedad	30	11	8	11	46:45	1	41
8	Getafe	30	12	5	13	27:31	-4	41
9	Osasuna	30	10	8	12	36:37	-1	38
10	Espanyol	30	10	8	12	36:44	-8	38
11	Ath Bilbao	30	11	5	14	32:43	-11	38
12	Girona	30	9	10	11	32:44	-12	37
13	Rayo Vallecano	30	8	11	11	29:35	-6	35
14	Valencia	30	9	8	13	34:45	-11	35
15	Alaves	30	8	8	14	32:43	-11	32
16	Mallorca	30	8	7	15	36:48	-12	31
17	Sevilla	30	8	7	15	37:50	-13	31
18	Elche	30	6	11	13	38:47	-9	29
19	Levante	30	6	8	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Oviedo	30	5	9	16	21:48	-27	24

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )