Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

: LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	3.47
Ball Possession
24%	76%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
78% (168/216)	92% (662/718)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	3.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	2.40
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
10	21
Passes
78% (168/216)	92% (662/718)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
65% (55/84)	76% (77/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.66
Throw-ins
11	16
Fouls
21	10
Tackles
64% (7/11)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
43	52
Clearances
19	14
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
2.40	0.12
Goals prevented
-0.60	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Lewandowski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
62', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
62', Nunez U. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
64', Araujo R. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
64', Raphinha ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
75', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
80', Williams N. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
81', Pedri ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
81', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
89', de Marcos O. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
89', Lewandowski R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Olmo D. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
31.7%

Draw
24.5%

Barcelona
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	3.92 ↑ (3.73)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)	3.9% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 47.5% – 77.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Athletic is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1.
Athletic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Surgery)
There are questionable in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Barcelona?

Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Athletic Bilbao?

Barcelona has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona were as follows:

08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2

24.08.2024 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1

03.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:0

24.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 4:2

22.10.2023 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 1:0

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

18.05.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 0:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Getafe - Athletic Bilbao 0:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Barcelona

18.05.2025 Barcelona - Villarreal 2:3 ✺

15.05.2025 Espanyol - Barcelona 0:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺

06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online