Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.77
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
75% (252/338)82% (364/443)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.90
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
72
Free Kicks
816
Passes
75% (252/338)82% (364/443)
Long passes
45% (35/77)40% (12/30)
Passes in final third
56% (68/122)69% (73/106)
Crosses
22% (4/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.16
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
168
Tackles
65% (11/17)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3758
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.901.77
Goals prevented
-0.100.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', Batalla A. 🟨,
  • 38', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Yamal L. (Pen),
  • 45', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Kounde J. 🟨,
  • 59', Lopez U. , Perez F. ,
  • 62', Raphinha , Rashford M. ,
  • 62', Olmo D. , Lopez F. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Perez F. , Palazon I. (A),
  • 76', Luiz Felipe , Valentin O. ,
  • 76', de Frutos J. , Camello S. ,
  • 78', Balde A. , Martin G. ,
  • 78', Torres F. , Lewandowski R. ,
  • 90+2', Palazon I. , Pacha ,
  • 90+3', Garcia A. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 90+4', Chavarria P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
14%
Draw
18.6%
Barcelona
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.1% 18% 68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7% 17.5% 70.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.81
    (7.28)
    5.1
    (5.3)
    1.42
    (1.38)
    4.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 49 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 78.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.
    • Rayo Vallecano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barcelona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Barcelona is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Fort H. (Coach's decision) Gavi (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Bardghji R. (Inactive) Szczesny W. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:56. (average 0.8:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.8:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    27.08.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona 1:2
    19.05.2024 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    25.11.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona 1:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Barcelona
    23.08.2025 Levante - Barcelona 2:3
    16.08.2025 Mallorca - Barcelona 0:3
    10.08.2025 Barcelona - Como 5:0
    04.08.2025 Daegu - Barcelona 0:5
    31.07.2025 FC Seoul - Barcelona 3:7
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

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