Barletta vs Sarnese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Mateus Castro ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Mateus Castro ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, ,
  • 67', 3 - 1, ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Barletta
47.5%
Draw
27.5%
Sarnese
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 27.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barletta's performance.
  • Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarnese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Barletta - Sarnese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.2)
    3.3
    (3.18)
    3.65
    (3.02)
    10%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Barletta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarnese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Barletta might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Barletta
    11.01.2026 Fidelis Andria - Barletta 0:0
    21.12.2025 Barletta - Nardo 0:0
    14.12.2025 Acerrana - Barletta 0:4
    07.12.2025 Barletta - Heraclea 1:0
    Latest results of Sarnese
    11.01.2026 Sarnese - Afragolese 1:2
    04.01.2026 Pompei - Sarnese 0:0
    14.12.2025 Francavilla - Sarnese 0:4
    07.12.2025 Sarnese - Fidelis Andria 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta281510343:162755
    2Paganese28165729:22753
    3Martina Calcio28157640:261452
    4Citta di Fasano28157639:291052
    5Afragolese28137842:33946
    6A.C.D. Nardo281112535:251045
    7Virtus Francavilla281110739:271243
    8Gravina281161133:37-439
    9Fidelis Andria281071129:25437
    10SS Nola 1925281071140:41-137
    11Real Normanna28812822:20236
    12Manfredonia28981129:33-435
    13Heraclea28961323:28-533
    14Sarnese287111040:41-132
    15Francavilla28871326:33-731
    16Ferrandina28671518:33-1525
    17Pompei28561714:31-1721
    18Acerrana28352015:56-4114

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation