Result
2:1 penalties
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (281/408) | 66% (216/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (281/408) | 66% (216/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/87) | 23% (18/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (117/188) | 45% (38/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Barclay B. 🟨,
- 34', McGill T. ↓, Ramming N. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Robertson J. ⚽, Oriola N. (A),
- 45+10', Knight J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tasker C. ↓, Keogh S. ↑,
- 46', Hartigan A. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 46', Collinge D. ↓, Senior A. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Stead C. ⚽, Winterburn B. (A),
- 61', Belmont J. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
- 70', Shaw K. 🟨,
- 80', Robertson J. ↓, Silsby T. ↑,
- 82', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
- 85', Silsby T. 🟨,
- 89', High S. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 90', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Glover R. ↑,
- 90+6', Albarus Z. ↓, Owusu Y. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Adeniran D. (Pen),
- 1, Knight J. (Pen),
- 2, Hawkins O. (Pen),
- 2, Nti S. (Pen),
- 3, Stead C. (Pen),
- 3, Shaw K. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Barnet
38.1% | Draw
35.6% | Brighton & Hove Albion U21
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion U21 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.27) |
3.18 ↓
(3.53) |
4.77 ↑
(2.63) |
-17.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21?
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Brighton & Hove U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brighton & Hove U21 has had a series of away games.
- Barnet could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Brighton & Hove Albion U21?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion U21 won against Barnet?
Brighton & Hove Albion U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
