Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (204/346) | 61% (197/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (204/346) | 61% (197/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (23/86) | 37% (34/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (84/155) | 41% (37/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 41 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Assombalonga B. ⚽,
- 43', Shelton M. (Pen),
- 45+5', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Sutton L. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 69', Stead C. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 69', Assombalonga B. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Muldoon J. ⚽, O'Connor A. (A),
- 86', Smith K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 90+4', Fox B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barnet
73.2% | Draw
17.1% | Harrogate Town
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Barnet - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.33) |
5.5 ↑
(4.96) |
9.66 ↑
(8.1) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnet - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Barnet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Barnet has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Barnet is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Barnet: Kizzi J.
(Inactive)
Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L.
(Inactive)
Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: McAleny C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Harrogate Town?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barnet?
Harrogate Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Harrogate Town were as follows:
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
