Result
6:2
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/545) | 66% (170/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.48 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (471/545) | 66% (170/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 30% (21/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (144/189) | 51% (54/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 4.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', de Gevigney M. 🟥,
- 8', Watters M. ↓, Bland J. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 0, Stansfield J. (Pen),
- 35', 1 - 1, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, McCarthy C. (A),
- 37', Willumsson W. T. ↓, May A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, May A. ⚽,
- 54', Klarer C. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 1, May A. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
- 59', 3 - 2, Humphrys S. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
- 67', Anderson K. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 67', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
- 71', Phillips A. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 2, Harris L. ⚽, May A. (A),
- 76', Bland J. 🟨,
- 82', 5 - 2, Dowell K. ⚽, May A. (A),
- 83', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 83', Stansfield J. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
- 86', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Lembikisa D. ↑,
- 86', Humphrys S. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 87', Connell L. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
- 90', 6 - 2, Jutkiewicz L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
69.6% | Draw
19% | Barnsley
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Birmingham City - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.4) |
4.96 ↑
(4.28) |
8.33 ↑
(7.27) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.
- Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Barnsley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Birmingham is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Benson J.
(Injury)
Farrugia N.
(Inactive)
Gauci J.
(Inactive)
Gent G.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Inactive)
Gardner-Hickman T.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Barnsley: Cotter B.
(Ankle Injury)
Earl J.
(Knock)
- Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.32.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Barnsley?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Birmingham City?
Barnsley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Barnsley were as follows:
07.12.2024
Barnsley
-
Birmingham City
1:2
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
