Barnsley vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.70
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (375/481)52% (118/225)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.141.96
Total shots
127
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
78% (375/481)52% (118/225)
Long passes
32% (24/74)31% (22/70)
Passes in final third
64% (112/176)41% (44/107)
Crosses
21% (4/19)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.58
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (5/8)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5555
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.963.14
Goals prevented
-0.040.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. , McKiernan J. J. (A),
  • 45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. , Phillips A. (A),
  • 58', Chauke K. , Gilligan C. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 71', Tavares F. , Shade T. ,
  • 72', Yoganathan V. , Kelly P. ,
  • 72', Vickers C. , Cleary R. ,
  • 82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 86', Kelly P. 🟨,
  • 87', Williams D. , Akoto N. ,
  • 87', McKiernan J. J. , Larsson J. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ,
  • 90+5', McGoldrick D. , Russell J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
54.1%
Draw
24.3%
Burton Albion
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.2% 26.3%

Barnsley - Burton Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(2.04)
3.91
(3.59)
4.37
(3.49)
4.2%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Burton Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Barnsley (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%97.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
    • In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J. (Red Card)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Burton Albion were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Barnsley - Burton Albion 0:0
    21.09.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:2
    01.04.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:3
    16.09.2023 Barnsley - Burton Albion 2:0
    07.04.2023 Burton Albion - Barnsley 2:1
    Latest results of Barnsley
    02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3
    22.07.2025 York City - Barnsley 2:2
    19.07.2025 Harrogate Town - Barnsley 0:3
    08.07.2025 Buxton - Barnsley 3:1
    05.07.2025 Worksop Town - Barnsley 1:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff26174545:261955
    2Lincoln26147542:281449
    3Bradford City25137535:27846
    4Stockport County26136737:32545
    5Bolton271110633:25843
    6Huddersfield271161046:38839
    7Luton26116937:32539
    8Stevenage25108727:23438
    9Wycombe2699834:29536
    10Mansfield24105934:28635
    11Reading2598833:31235
    12Peterborough261121333:35-235
    13Exeter251031228:23533
    14Plymouth261031333:39-633
    15Barnsley2295835:34132
    16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
    17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
    18Wigan2579926:28-230
    19Burton25861126:35-930
    20Blackpool26851332:39-729
    21Northampton25851223:30-729
    22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
    23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
    24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two