Barnsley vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 2
Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.70
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
78% (375/481)	52% (118/225)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.14	1.96
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
30	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
78% (375/481)	52% (118/225)
Long passes
32% (24/74)	31% (22/70)
Passes in final third
64% (112/176)	41% (44/107)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.58
Throw-ins
32	16
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
63% (5/8)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
55	55
Clearances
24	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.96	3.14
Goals prevented
-0.04	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
58', Chauke K. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
71', Tavares F. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
72', Vickers C. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
86', Kelly P. 🟨,
87', Williams D. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
87', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽,
90+5', McGoldrick D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
54.1%

Draw
24.3%

Burton Albion
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Barnsley - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.04)	3.91 ↑ (3.59)	4.37 ↑ (3.49)	4.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Burton Albion?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Barnsley (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 27 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J. (Red Card)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Burton Albion?

Barnsley has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Barnsley?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Burton Albion were as follows:

01.02.2025 Barnsley - Burton Albion 0:0

21.09.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:2

01.04.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:3

16.09.2023 Barnsley - Burton Albion 2:0

07.04.2023 Burton Albion - Barnsley 2:1

Latest results of Barnsley

02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3 ✺

22.07.2025 York City - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Harrogate Town - Barnsley 0:3 ✺

08.07.2025 Buxton - Barnsley 3:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Worksop Town - Barnsley 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

02.08.2025 Burton Albion - Mansfield Town 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Burton Albion - Derby County 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Burton Albion - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Burton Albion - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Alfreton Town - Burton Albion 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two