Barnsley vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 2
Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.70
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
78% (375/481)	52% (118/225)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.14	1.96
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
30	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
78% (375/481)	52% (118/225)
Long passes
32% (24/74)	31% (22/70)
Passes in final third
64% (112/176)	41% (44/107)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.58
Throw-ins
32	16
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
63% (5/8)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
55	55
Clearances
24	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.96	3.14
Goals prevented
-0.04	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
58', Chauke K. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
71', Tavares F. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
72', Vickers C. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
86', Kelly P. 🟨,
87', Williams D. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
87', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽,
90+5', McGoldrick D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
54.1%

Draw
24.3%

Burton Albion
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.2%

26.3%

Barnsley - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.04)	3.91 ↑ (3.59)	4.37 ↑ (3.49)	4.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Burton Albion?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Barnsley (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 27 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J. (Red Card)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Burton Albion?

Barnsley has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Barnsley?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Burton Albion were as follows:

01.02.2025 Barnsley - Burton Albion 0:0

21.09.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:2

01.04.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:3

16.09.2023 Barnsley - Burton Albion 2:0

07.04.2023 Burton Albion - Barnsley 2:1

Latest results of Barnsley

02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3 ✺

22.07.2025 York City - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Harrogate Town - Barnsley 0:3 ✺

08.07.2025 Buxton - Barnsley 3:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Worksop Town - Barnsley 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

02.08.2025 Burton Albion - Mansfield Town 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Burton Albion - Derby County 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Burton Albion - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Burton Albion - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Alfreton Town - Burton Albion 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two