Barnsley vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Barnsley - Burton Albion
Result
3:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.70
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (375/481)52% (118/225)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.141.96
Total shots
127
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
78% (375/481)52% (118/225)
Long passes
32% (24/74)31% (22/70)
Passes in final third
64% (112/176)41% (44/107)
Crosses
21% (4/19)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.58
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (5/8)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5555
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.963.14
Goals prevented
-0.040.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. , McKiernan J. J. (A),
  • 45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. , Phillips A. (A),
  • 58', Chauke K. , Gilligan C. ,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 71', Tavares F. , Shade T. ,
  • 72', Yoganathan V. , Kelly P. ,
  • 72', Vickers C. , Cleary R. ,
  • 82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 86', Kelly P. 🟨,
  • 87', Williams D. , Akoto N. ,
  • 87', McKiernan J. J. , Larsson J. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ,
  • 90+5', McGoldrick D. , Russell J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnsley
54.1%
Draw
24.3%
Burton Albion
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 26.4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.2% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Barnsley - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.04)
    3.91
    (3.59)
    4.37
    (3.49)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Barnsley - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.69%97.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
    • In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J. (Red Card)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Burton Albion were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Barnsley - Burton Albion 0:0
    21.09.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:2
    01.04.2024 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:3
    16.09.2023 Barnsley - Burton Albion 2:0
    07.04.2023 Burton Albion - Barnsley 2:1
    Latest results of Barnsley
    02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3
    22.07.2025 York City - Barnsley 2:2
    19.07.2025 Harrogate Town - Barnsley 0:3
    08.07.2025 Buxton - Barnsley 3:1
    05.07.2025 Worksop Town - Barnsley 1:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Lincoln1163217:10721
    5AFC Wimbledon1170416:12421
    6Huddersfield1161417:13419
    7Stockport County1154217:14319
    8Bolton1145216:11517
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1152411:12-117
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Northampton104247:8-114
    14Wigan1134415:16-113
    15Plymouth1141616:19-313
    16Port Vale1133510:10012
    17Exeter1140711:12-112
    18Leyton Orient1132616:22-611
    19Reading1024411:15-410
    20Wycombe1123613:15-29
    21Burton102357:15-89
    22Rotherham102269:15-68
    23Blackpool1122710:19-98
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two