Result
5:2
21/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (423/497) | 84% (383/457) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (423/497) | 84% (383/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 73% (59/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 3.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Fletcher J. ⚽, Obi C. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. (Pen),
- 44', Phillips A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
- 53', 2 - 2, Obi C. ⚽, Lacey S. (A),
- 58', Helafu Y. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
- 63', Leon D. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
- 64', Fletcher J. 🟥,
- 71', Kelly P. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 2, Farrugia N. ⚽, Russell J. (A),
- 79', 5 - 2, Russell J. ⚽, Ogbeta N. (A),
- 80', Lacey S. ↓, Fitzgerald J. ↑,
- 80', Obi C. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 82', Ogbeta N. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
- 82', Vickers C. ↓, Alker L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
47.8% | Draw
20.9% | Manchester United U21
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United U21's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barnsley - Manchester United U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.75) |
4.56 ↑
(3.98) |
2.94 ↓
(3.69) |
6.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Manchester United U21?
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Barnsley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Man Utd U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Man Utd U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barnsley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Manchester United U21?
Barnsley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United U21 won against Barnsley?
Manchester United U21 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Manchester United U21 were as follows:
20.08.2024
Barnsley
-
Manchester United U21
2:3
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Manchester United U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
