Barnsley vs Manchester United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Barnsley - Manchester United U21
Result
5:2
21/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Davis W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.030.93
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
85% (423/497)84% (383/457)
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.030.93
xG on target (xGOT)
3.781.90
Total shots
129
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
85% (423/497)84% (383/457)
Long passes
45% (24/53)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
68% (73/107)73% (59/81)
Crosses
18% (4/22)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.41
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1115
Tackles
84% (16/19)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5235
Clearances
1125
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.903.78
Goals prevented
-0.10-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Fletcher J. , Obi C. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, McGoldrick D. (Pen),
  • 44', Phillips A. , Russell J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 1, McGoldrick D. , Vickers C. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 2, Obi C. , Lacey S. (A),
  • 58', Helafu Y. , McAllister F. ,
  • 62', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. , Vickers C. (A),
  • 63', Leon D. , Scanlon J. ,
  • 64', Fletcher J. 🟥,
  • 71', Kelly P. , Shepherd J. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Farrugia N. , Russell J. (A),
  • 79', 5 - 2, Russell J. , Ogbeta N. (A),
  • 80', Lacey S. , Fitzgerald J. ,
  • 80', Obi C. , Biancheri G. ,
  • 82', Ogbeta N. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 82', Vickers C. , Alker L. ,

Chances of winning


Barnsley
47.8%
Draw
20.9%
Manchester United U21
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 23% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 23.8% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barnsley - Manchester United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.75)
    4.56
    (3.98)
    2.94
    (3.69)
    6.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Barnsley - Manchester United U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Barnsley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Man Utd U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Man Utd U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Barnsley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Barnsley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Manchester United U21 were as follows:
    20.08.2024 Barnsley - Manchester United U21 2:3
    Latest results of Barnsley
    18.10.2025 Bradford City - Barnsley 2:2
    11.10.2025 Barnsley - Cardiff City Postponed
    30.09.2025 Notts County - Barnsley 2:1
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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    Group 4
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