Result
0:6
10/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Santa Catarina - Round 1
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 22', 0 - 1, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 33', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
- 39', 0 - 3, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 65', 0 - 5, ⚽,
- 89', 0 - 6, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barra Santa Catarina
26.7% | Draw
32.9% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barra Santa Catarina's form might have worsened.Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(2.4) |
2.91 ↑
(2.88) |
2.37 ↓
(2.95) |
4.6%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Users Predictions:
Náutico Marcílio Dias will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Náutico Marcílio Dias will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2.
- Barra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marcílio Dias has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Barra Santa Catarina won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Barra Santa Catarina has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Barra Santa Catarina?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
14.07.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Barra Santa Catarina
1:0
03.05.2025
Barra Santa Catarina
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:1
12.02.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Barra Santa Catarina
2:0
15.09.2024
Barra Santa Catarina
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
28.01.2024
Barra Santa Catarina
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:0
Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Avai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Concordia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Carlos Renaux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Nacao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Joinville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Camboriu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Tubarao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Caravaggio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
