Náutico Marcílio Dias vs Barra Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina
Result
1:0
14/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
85
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Rodolfo Potiguar ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Náutico Marcílio Dias
41.8%
Draw
32.2%
Barra Santa Catarina
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 30.2% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 30.7% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.12)
    2.83
    (3)
    3.49
    (3.34)
    9.9%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Barra is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 1.
    • In recent matches, Marcílio Dias has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marcílio Dias might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 2:1
    12.02.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina 2:0
    15.09.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:1
    28.01.2024 Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:0
    01.10.2023 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina 2:3
    Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0