Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
95
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Mercado E. ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Esquivel L. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Resistencia
35.5%
Draw
29.5%
Bartolomé Mitre
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 28.3% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 27.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Resistencia's form might have worsened.
  • Bartolomé Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bartolomé Mitre's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bartolomé Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (1.98)
    3.19
    (3.22)
    2.69
    (3.53)
    6.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Sarmiento is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bartolomé Mitre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre 3:3
    23.03.2025 Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0